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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Gornik Zabrze
S U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
67%
72%
Both score Ø 56%
61%
50%
Average goals
3,1
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 13. · Lechia Gdansk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 19 14 3 2 +24 45
2 Legia 18 10 5 3 +6 35
3 Widzew Lodz 19 9 4 6 +5 31
4 Lech Poznan 18 8 6 4 +5 30
5 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 6 4 +4 30
6 Cracovia 18 8 4 6 +8 28
7 Wisla Plock 18 8 4 6 +4 28
8 Stal Mielec 18 8 4 6 +3 28
9 Warta Poznan 18 7 5 6 +2 26
10 Radomiak Radom 18 7 3 8 -2 24
11 Slask Wroclaw 18 5 6 7 -8 21
12 Jagiellonia 19 4 8 7 -1 20
13 Gornik Zabrze 18 5 5 8 -4 20
14 Lechia Gdansk 18 6 2 10 -11 20
15 Zaglebie 18 5 5 8 -11 20
16 Piast Gliwice 19 4 5 10 -5 17
17 Legnica 18 3 5 10 -9 14
18 Korona Kielce 18 3 4 11 -10 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gornik Zabrze Lechia Gdansk
Szymon Włodarczyk 🟨
19′
29′
🟨 Maciej Gajos
42′
🟨 Łukasz Zwoliński
43′
ℹ️ Łukasz Zwoliński
VAR: Card reviewed
Half-time 0–0
Erik Janža ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
50′
53′
🟨 Ilkay Durmus
1–0 S. Włodarczyk
54′
56′
🔁 K. Sezonienko
↦ İ. Durmuş
57′
🔁 K. Friesenbichler
↦ M. Gajos
Erik Janža 🟨
67′
71′
L. Zwoliński 1–1
P. Olkowski 🔁
↦ N. Wojtuszek
79′
J. Kotzke 🔁
↦ M. Cholewiak
80′
P. Krawczyk 🔁
↦ S. Włodarczyk
80′
80′
🔁 D. Stec
↦ Conrado
90′
🟨 Jakub Bartkowski
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bielica G
13 E. Bergström D
3 R. Jensen D
64 E. Janža D
15 N. Wojtuszek M
23 J. Jules M
33 K. Okunuki M
11 M. Cholewiak M
7 Dani Pacheco F
20 S. Włodarczyk F
10 Ł. Podolski F
Bench (9)
16 P. Olkowski
25 J. Kotzke
21 P. Krawczyk
31 P. Sokół
5 K. Szcześniak
4 A. Paluszek
17 R. Kamber
8 B. Vrhovec
30 N. Zielonka

Coach: B. Gaul

Lechia Gdansk

4-1-4-1
12 D. Kuciak G
5 J. Bartkowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
23 M. Maloča D
2 R. Pietrzak D
4 K. Tobers M
99 İ. Durmuş M
6 J. Kubicki M
7 M. Gajos M
20 Conrado M
9 L. Zwoliński F
Bench (9)
79 K. Sezonienko
30 K. Friesenbichler
29 D. Stec
69 J. Biegański
3 H. Castegren
33 M. Terrazzino
10 B. Diabaté
1 M. Buchalik
97 J. Abu Hanna

Coach: M. Kaczmarek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.