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Eredivisie

Referee: J Kooij

Heerenveen

U S T S T

1–3

Full-time

Vitesse

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Vitesse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 26%

35%

17%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

41%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

35%

56%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%

10 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 8. · Vitesse 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	18	12	5	1	+27	41
2	AZ Alkmaar	18	12	3	3	+16	39
3	PSV Eindhoven	19	12	2	5	+24	38
4	Ajax	18	9	7	2	+27	34
5	Twente	16	10	4	2	+20	34
6	Sparta Rotterdam	16	9	4	3	+15	31
7	Utrecht	17	7	5	5	-1	26
8	Heerenveen	17	6	6	5	+0	24
9	Nijmegen	18	4	10	4	+3	22
10	Waalwijk	18	5	7	6	-2	22
11	Go Ahead Eagles	18	4	7	7	-6	19
12	For Sittard	18	5	4	9	-9	19
13	Excelsior	18	6	1	11	-20	19
14	Vitesse	18	3	7	8	-14	16
15	FC Emmen	19	3	6	10	-19	15
16	Volendam	18	3	4	11	-24	13
17	Cambuur	18	3	3	12	-18	12
18	Groningen	18	3	3	12	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	1	1	+21	25
2	Twente	9	8	1	0	+21	25
3	Feyenoord	9	6	3	0	+16	21
4	Sparta Rotterdam	9	6	1	2	+10	19
5	Ajax	9	4	4	1	+19	16
6	Waalwijk	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	AZ Alkmaar	8	4	3	1	+4	15
8	Excelsior	8	5	0	3	+0	15
9	Nijmegen	9	2	6	1	+6	12
10	Utrecht	8	3	3	2	+0	12
11	FC Emmen	9	2	6	1	-1	12
12	Heerenveen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	For Sittard	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Go Ahead Eagles	10	2	4	4	-4	10
15	Groningen	9	2	1	6	-7	7
16	Vitesse	9	1	4	4	-11	7
17	Volendam	8	2	0	6	-12	6
18	Cambuur	9	1	0	8	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	10	8	0	2	+12	24
2	Feyenoord	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Ajax	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Utrecht	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	PSV Eindhoven	9	4	1	4	+3	13
6	Heerenveen	9	3	4	2	+0	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Nijmegen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
9	Twente	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Cambuur	9	2	3	4	-6	9
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Waalwijk	9	1	4	4	-9	7
15	Volendam	10	1	4	5	-12	7
16	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-12	5
17	Excelsior	10	1	1	8	-20	4
18	FC Emmen	10	1	0	9	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.