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Serie B
Referee: P Valeri
Venezia
S T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Cittadella
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Cittadella
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
48%
29%
Both score Ø 48%
62%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
1,1
0,7
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
13 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
20 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Venezia 18. · Cittadella 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 21 14 3 4 +20 45
2 Reggina 21 12 3 6 +14 39
3 Genoa 21 11 6 4 +9 39
4 Bari 21 8 9 4 +14 33
5 Cagliari 22 8 8 6 +3 32
6 Sudtirol 21 8 8 5 -1 32
7 Pisa 21 7 9 5 +9 30
8 Parma 21 8 6 7 +3 30
9 Ternana 21 8 5 8 -4 29
10 Modena 21 8 4 9 +1 28
11 Palermo 21 7 7 7 -2 28
12 Ascoli 21 6 8 7 +0 26
13 Brescia 21 6 7 8 -9 25
14 Spal 22 5 9 8 -2 24
15 Benevento 21 5 8 8 -4 23
16 Como 21 5 8 8 -7 23
17 Cittadella 21 5 8 8 -10 23
18 Venezia 21 5 5 11 -7 20
19 Perugia 21 5 5 11 -10 20
20 Cosenza 21 4 6 11 -17 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Cittadella
9′
🟨 Mirko Antonucci
1–0 J. Pohjanpalo
29′
36′
ℹ️ Mirko Antonucci
VAR: Penalty confirmed
38′
M. Antonucci 1–1
Joel Pohjanpalo 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🟨 Alessio Vita
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
48′
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
49′
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
63′
G. Busio 🔁
↦ M. Kofod Andersen
64′
67′
🔁 I. Lores
↦ G. Ambrosino
R. Haps 🔁
↦ F. Zampano
74′
77′
🔁 Carlos Embaló
↦ T. Maistrello
77′
🔁 G. Carriero
↦ M. Antonucci
Ridgeciano Haps ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
80′
Ridgeciano Haps 🟥
81′
A. Beghetto 🔁
↦ M. Jajalo
86′
A. Novakovich 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Venezia

3-5-2
66 J. Joronen G
30 M. Svoboda D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
27 A. Candela M
8 T. Tessmann M
18 M. Jajalo M
38 M. Kofod Andersen M
7 F. Zampano M
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (11)
25 N. Pierini
6 G. Busio
5 R. Haps
94 A. Beghetto
11 A. Novakovich
77 M. Ellertsson
1 N. Mäenpää
55 P. Hristov
12 Bruno
60 L. Busato
21 D. Cheryshev

Coach: P. Vanoli

Cittadella

4-3-1-2
36 E. Kastrati G
18 A. Mattioli D
15 D. Frare D
6 S. Visentin D
98 F. Giraudo D
21 G. Crociata M
26 N. Pavan M
16 A. Vita M
10 M. Antonucci M
70 G. Ambrosino F
32 T. Maistrello F
Bench (9)
30 I. Lores
7 Carlos Embaló
20 G. Carriero
77 L. Maniero
90 Raúl Asencio
17 D. Donnarumma
2 R. Perticone
5 D. Del Fabro
19 V. Ciriello

Coach: E. Gorini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U ✓
3,05
B
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,41
U2,5 ✓
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Valeri · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.