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Ligue 2
Referee: R Lissorgue
Amiens
U S U U U
1–1
Full-time
Le Havre
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Amiens Le Havre
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,3
Scored
2,7
1,2
Conceded
0,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 53%
42%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
37%
26%
Both score Ø 40%
47%
32%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,1
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Amiens 6. · Le Havre 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 19 12 6 1 +22 42
2 Sochaux 20 10 3 7 +11 33
3 Bordeaux 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Metz 19 9 4 6 +9 31
5 Grenoble 19 8 6 5 +3 30
6 Amiens 19 8 5 6 +2 29
7 Caen 19 7 7 5 +3 28
8 Bastia 19 8 4 7 -3 28
9 Paris FC 19 7 6 6 -2 27
10 Quevilly Rouen 19 6 7 6 -1 25
11 Valenciennes 19 6 7 6 -1 25
12 Annecy 19 6 6 7 +1 24
13 Guingamp 19 6 6 7 -3 24
14 Laval 19 7 2 10 -6 23
15 Pau FC 19 5 7 7 -6 22
16 Dijon 19 5 6 8 -1 21
17 St Etienne 20 5 6 9 -6 21
18 Rodez 19 4 7 8 -8 19
19 Niort 19 4 5 10 -14 17
20 Nimes 19 4 4 11 -11 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Amiens Le Havre
0–1 V. Lekhal
own goal
10′
Iron Gomis 🟨
27′
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 J. Thiaré
↦ Y. Kitala
60′
🔁 A. Joujou
↦ J. Casimir
60′
🔁 C. Diakité
↦ Y. Kechta
S. Ring 🔁
↦ M. Xantippe
63′
O. Gene 🔁
↦ J. Gélin
71′
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ T. Arokodare
71′
73′
🔁 N. Mbemba
↦ A. Richardson
78′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ Q. Cornette
88′
J. Thiaré 0–2
G. Lloris
P. Cissé 🔁
↦ Mamadou Fofana II
91′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Amiens

3-1-4-2
1 R. Gurtner G
5 F. Mendy D
4 N. Opoku D
2 Mamadou Fofana I D
24 J. Gélin M
7 A. Léautey M
17 I. Gomis M
6 Mamadou Fofana II M
26 M. Xantippe M
96 G. Kakuta F
9 T. Arokodare F
Bench (7)
3 S. Ring
25 O. Gene
46 G. Ilenikhena
18 P. Cissé
15 Y. Assogba
16 P. Charruau
10 A. Chibozo

Coach: P. Hinschberger

Le Havre

4-1-4-1
1 M. Gorgelin G
17 O. El Hajjam D
15 T. Kongolo D
4 G. Lloris D
27 C. Opéri D
22 V. Lekhal M
23 J. Casimir M
24 A. Richardson M
8 Y. Kechta M
11 Q. Cornette M
9 Y. Kitala F
Bench (7)
14 J. Thiaré
33 A. Joujou
6 C. Diakité
18 N. Mbemba
28 E. Mahmoud
16 M. Koné
92 E. Kinkoue

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U ✓
2,99
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,49
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Lissorgue · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.