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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
PSV Eindhoven
U S U S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 43%
61%
24%
Points per game
1,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
47%
Both score Ø 61%
56%
65%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Go Ahead Eagles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 18 12 5 1 +27 41
2 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 3 3 +16 39
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 11 2 5 +22 35
4 Ajax 18 9 7 2 +27 34
5 Twente 16 10 4 2 +20 34
6 Sparta Rotterdam 16 9 4 3 +15 31
7 Utrecht 17 7 5 5 -1 26
8 Heerenveen 17 6 6 5 +0 24
9 Nijmegen 18 4 10 4 +3 22
10 Waalwijk 17 4 7 6 -4 19
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 4 7 6 -4 19
12 For Sittard 18 5 4 9 -9 19
13 Excelsior 18 6 1 11 -20 19
14 Vitesse 18 3 7 8 -14 16
15 FC Emmen 18 3 6 9 -17 15
16 Volendam 18 3 4 11 -24 13
17 Cambuur 18 3 3 12 -18 12
18 Groningen 18 3 3 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles
1–0 J. Veerman
G. Til
14′
Half-time 1–0
André Ramalho 🔁
↦ A. Obispo
46′
46′
🔁 E. Linthorst
↦ R. Fernandes
46′
🔁 J. Amofa
↦ T. Tekie
Anwar El Ghazi 🟨
55′
62′
🟨 Gerrit Nauber
2–0 A. El Ghazi
64′
69′
🟨 Jay Idzes
72′
🔁 B. Adekanye
↦ O. Edvardsen
72′
🔁 F. Mattiello
↦ José Fontán
72′
🔁 S. Sow
↦ W. Willumsson
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ G. Til
78′
Érick Gutiérrez 🟨
79′
Fábio Silva 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
82′
I. Saibari 🔁
↦ A. El Ghazi
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Branthwaite D
4 A. Obispo D
29 P. Mwene D
6 I. Sangaré M
23 J. Veerman M
21 A. El Ghazi M
20 G. Til M
7 X. Simons M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (11)
5 André Ramalho
15 É. Gutiérrez
10 Fábio Silva
28 I. Saibari
42 F. Fofana
31 P. Max
37 R. Ledezma
27 J. Bakayoko
24 B. Waterman
8 M. van Ginkel
16 J. Drommel

Coach: R. van Nistelrooij

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
6 J. Idzes D
4 José Fontán D
15 T. Tekie M
21 E. Llansana M
23 O. Edvardsen M
18 W. Willumsson M
7 R. Fernandes M
27 F. Stokkers F
Bench (11)
8 E. Linthorst
25 J. Amofa
11 B. Adekanye
33 F. Mattiello
19 S. Sow
22 E. Mulder
24 J. Markelo
40 L. Plogmann
20 X. Blomme
17 M. Berden
9 I. Lidberg

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,25
U
6,19
B
10,60
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,43
U2,5 ✓
2,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.