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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

St Truiden

S U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,2

This season — Pro League · 29/28 matches

Win Ø 37%

38%

36%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

52%

68%

Both score Ø 67%

59%

75%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

10 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Truiden 11. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	24	19	2	3	+43	59
2	Anderlecht	25	16	7	2	+41	55
3	Antwerp	26	16	4	6	+19	52
4	Club Brugge	24	15	5	4	+19	50
5	Kortrijk	30	11	10	9	+7	43
6	Charleroi	25	12	6	7	+9	42
7	Cercle Brugge	30	12	5	13	+7	41
8	Mechelen	25	13	2	10	+0	41
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	28	10	9	9	+0	39
10	Genk	23	11	4	8	+17	37
11	St Truiden	29	11	4	14	-7	37
12	Gent	22	9	7	6	+8	34
13	Oostende	29	10	4	15	-23	34
14	Standard	28	8	8	12	-13	32
15	Eupen	30	7	7	16	-17	28
16	Waregem	29	6	8	15	-28	26
17	Seraing	27	7	2	18	-27	23
18	Seraing United	27	7	2	18	-27	23
19	Beerschot VA	29	5	4	20	-28	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	13	8	4	1	+19	28
2	St. Gilloise	12	9	1	2	+16	28
3	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Mechelen	13	9	1	3	+12	28
5	Genk	12	7	3	2	+16	24
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	7	3	5	+2	24
7	Antwerp	12	7	2	3	+10	23
8	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	Cercle Brugge	15	6	2	7	+3	20
10	Gent	10	5	3	2	+8	18
11	Charleroi	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	St Truiden	14	5	2	7	-1	17
13	Seraing	14	5	2	7	-7	17
14	Seraing United	14	5	2	7	-7	17
15	Beerschot VA	15	5	1	9	-9	16
16	Oostende	14	5	1	8	-16	16
17	Waregem	14	3	4	7	-11	13
18	Eupen	15	3	3	9	-12	12
19	Standard	13	2	5	6	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	12	10	1	1	+27	31
2	Antwerp	14	9	2	3	+9	29
3	Anderlecht	12	8	3	1	+22	27
4	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+7	24
5	Club Brugge	11	7	1	3	+5	22
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	3	6	+4	21
7	Kortrijk	15	5	6	4	+3	21
8	Standard	15	6	3	6	-5	21
9	St Truiden	15	6	2	7	-6	20
10	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-7	18
11	Gent	12	4	4	4	+0	16
12	Eupen	15	4	4	7	-5	16
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	6	4	-2	15
14	Genk	11	4	1	6	+1	13
15	Mechelen	12	4	1	7	-12	13
16	Waregem	15	3	4	8	-17	13
17	Seraing	13	2	0	11	-20	6
18	Seraing United	13	2	0	11	-20	6
19	Beerschot VA	14	0	3	11	-19	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.