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Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Bayern Munich
S S S U U
1–1
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
59%
53%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
53%
65%
Both score Ø 65%
59%
71%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
3,0
2,1
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,49 xG 0,62
67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
3 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Ein Frankfurt 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 17 10 6 1 +36 +0.6 36
2 Union Berlin 18 11 3 4 +9 +2.9 36
3 RB Leipzig 18 10 5 3 +15 +1.4 35
4 Freiburg 18 10 4 4 +4 -0.2 34
5 Ein Frankfurt 17 9 4 4 +11 -2.5 31
6 Dortmund 17 10 1 6 +6 +1.6 31
7 Wolfsburg 18 8 5 5 +14 +3.5 29
8 M'gladbach 18 7 4 7 +5 -1.8 25
9 Leverkusen 17 7 3 7 +2 +1.8 24
10 Werder Bremen 18 7 3 8 -8 -1.9 24
11 Mainz 18 6 5 7 -3 -0.3 23
12 FC Koln 17 5 6 6 -2 +2.3 21
13 Hoffenheim 18 5 4 9 -5 -0.5 19
14 Augsburg 18 5 3 10 -10 -0.8 18
15 Stuttgart 18 3 7 8 -10 -0.1 16
16 Bochum 18 5 1 12 -25 -0.8 16
17 Hertha 18 3 5 10 -12 -4.1 14
18 Schalke 04 17 2 3 12 -27 -1.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Ein Frankfurt
Matthijs de Ligt 🟨
8′
Yann Sommer 🟨
25′
1–0 L. Sané
T. Müller
34′
Half-time 1–0
Dayot Upamecano 🟨
56′
64′
🔁 R. Borré
↦ J. Lindstrøm
64′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ S. Rode
69′
R. Kolo Muani 1–1
D. Kamada
R. Gravenberch 🔁
↦ K. Coman
70′
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ L. Sané
70′
M. Tel 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
77′
80′
🟨 Rafael Santos Borré
85′
🔁 K. Jakić
↦ M. Götze
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ J. Stanišić
90′
94′
🔁 F. Alidou
↦ R. Kolo Muani
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
27 Y. Sommer G
44 J. Stanišić D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 M. de Ligt D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
10 L. Sané M
25 T. Müller M
42 J. Musiala M
11 K. Coman M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (9)
38 R. Gravenberch
7 S. Gnabry
39 M. Tel
18 M. Sabitzer
26 S. Ulreich
23 D. Blind
14 P. Wanner
5 B. Pavard
46 A. Ibrahimović

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
20 M. Hasebe D
2 E. Ndicka D
24 Aurélio Buta M
17 S. Rode M
8 D. Sow M
36 A. Knauff M
29 J. Lindstrøm F
27 M. Götze F
9 R. Kolo Muani F
Bench (9)
19 R. Borré
15 D. Kamada
6 K. Jakić
11 F. Alidou
5 H. Smolčić
21 L. Alario
25 C. Lenz
22 T. Chandler
40 D. Ramaj

Coach: O. Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,33
U ✓
6,14
B
7,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,31
U2,5 ✓
3,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.