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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
St Mirren
U U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
24%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
62%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
62%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 7. · Motherwell 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 20 1 1 +52 61
2 Rangers 22 16 4 2 +29 52
3 Hearts 22 11 5 6 +11 38
4 Livingston 21 9 4 8 -6 31
5 Aberdeen 22 9 2 11 -2 29
6 Hibernian 22 8 3 11 -8 27
7 St Mirren 21 7 6 8 -9 27
8 ST Johnstone 22 7 3 12 -10 24
9 Motherwell 21 5 5 11 -6 20
10 Dundee United 21 5 5 11 -12 20
11 Kilmarnock 22 5 5 12 -19 20
12 Ross County 22 4 5 13 -20 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Jul -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 0–1 2. Apr -22 Motherwell – St Mirren 4–2 1. Feb -22 St Mirren – Motherwell 1–1 27. Oct -21 Motherwell – St Mirren 2–2 10. Apr -21 Motherwell – St Mirren 1–0

Match report

St Mirren Motherwell
1–0 C. Main ⚽
R. Strain
16′
Alex Greive 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 O. Crankshaw
↦ B. Spittal
56′
🔁 R. Tierney
↦ C. Shields
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ A. Greive
60′
61′
🟨 Sean Goss
K. Offord 🔁
↦ J. Ayunga
78′
Kieran Offord 🟨
81′
Marcus Fraser 🟨
84′
D. Gallagher 🔁
↦ R. Strain
87′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
87′
89′
🟨 Ricki Lamie
89′
🔁 D. Cornelius
↦ S. Goss
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
22 M. Fraser D
13 A. Gogić D
18 C. Dunne D
23 R. Strain M
11 G. Kiltie M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
21 A. Greive
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
7 J. Ayunga
25 K. Offord
31 D. Gallagher
8 R. Flynn
5 R. Taylor
30 F. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
32 L. Kenny
24 L. Jamieson

Coach: S. Robinson

Motherwell

4-3-3
1 L. Kelly G
22 M. Johnston D
20 S. Blaney D
4 R. Lamie D
16 P. McGinn D
7 B. Spittal M
8 C. Slattery M
27 S. Goss M
29 C. Shields F
9 K. van Veen F
17 S. McKinstry F
Bench (8)
12 O. Crankshaw
26 R. Tierney
18 D. Cornelius
34 L. Dunachie
2 S. O'Donnell
13 A. Oxborough
47 L. Ross
15 S. Johansen

Coach: S. Hammell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
🔒
U
3,21
🔒
B
3,02
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,22
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,64
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.