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La Liga

Referee: César Soto

Sevilla

S T S S T

3–0

Full-time

Elche

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 11%

22%

Points per game

1,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 64%

72%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,95 xG 0,41

81% Possession 19%

22 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sevilla 16. · Elche 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	15	2	1	+31	-0.3	47
2	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+22	-0.1	41
3	Sociedad	18	12	2	4	+10	+0.8	38
4	Ath Madrid	18	9	4	5	+11	+2.9	31
5	Villarreal	18	9	4	5	+8	+2.3	31
6	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	-1.4	28
7	Osasuna	18	8	4	6	+1	-0.8	28
8	Ath Bilbao	18	7	5	6	+6	+0.1	26
9	Vallecano	18	7	5	6	+2	-0.8	26
10	Mallorca	19	7	4	8	-3	-1.5	25
11	Almeria	19	6	4	9	-6	+0.9	22
12	Girona	19	5	6	8	-3	-2.4	21
13	Valencia	17	5	5	7	+5	+0.4	20
14	Espanol	19	4	8	7	-6	+0.1	20
15	Cadiz	19	4	7	8	-15	-0.1	19
16	Sevilla	18	4	6	8	-8	+1.6	18
17	Getafe	18	4	5	9	-9	+0.4	17
18	Celta	18	4	5	9	-12	-0.0	17
19	Valladolid	18	5	2	11	-15	-2.9	17
20	Elche	18	0	6	12	-24	+0.8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	7	2	0	+18	-0.4	23
2	Villarreal	8	6	1	1	+8	+2.3	19
3	Almeria	10	6	1	3	+5	+1.3	19
4	Osasuna	9	6	0	3	+4	–	18
5	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	–	17
6	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	–	17
7	Ath Bilbao	10	5	2	3	+6	+0.1	17
8	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	–	17
9	Girona	10	4	3	3	+1	-0.1	15
10	Valencia	10	4	2	4	+7	+0.4	14
11	Ath Madrid	9	4	2	3	+5	+2.9	14
12	Vallecano	9	4	2	3	+2	-0.8	14
13	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+1	+0.0	14
14	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	–	13
15	Cadiz	10	2	5	3	-6	+1.5	11
16	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	–	10
17	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
18	Espanol	9	2	3	4	-4	+1.4	9
19	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-5	+1.6	9
20	Elche	9	0	3	6	-10	+0.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	10	8	0	2	+13	-0.1	24
2	Barcelona	9	8	0	1	+13	+0.1	24
3	Sociedad	9	7	0	2	+8	+0.8	21
4	Ath Madrid	9	5	2	2	+6	–	17
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	–	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	–	12
7	Espanol	10	2	5	3	-2	-1.3	11
8	Betis	9	3	2	4	-2	-1.4	11
9	Mallorca	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.5	11
10	Osasuna	9	2	4	3	-3	-0.8	10
11	Ath Bilbao	8	2	3	3	+0	–	9
12	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	–	9
13	Getafe	9	2	2	5	-6	+0.4	8
14	Cadiz	9	2	2	5	-9	-1.6	8
15	Celta	9	2	1	6	-11	-0.0	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	–	6
17	Girona	9	1	3	5	-4	-2.3	6
18	Valladolid	9	1	1	7	-14	-2.9	4
19	Almeria	9	0	3	6	-11	-0.4	3
20	Elche	9	0	3	6	-14	–	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.