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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Holstein Kiel

U T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Greuther Furth

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Greuther Furth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 30%

35%

24%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

65%

59%

Both score Ø 76%

76%

Average goals

3,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

18 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

12 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 8. · Greuther Furth 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	17	10	6	1	+12	36
2	Hamburg	17	11	1	5	+10	34
3	Heidenheim	17	9	6	2	+13	33
4	Paderborn	18	9	2	7	+14	29
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	9	2	7	+7	29
6	Kaiserslautern	17	7	8	2	+6	29
7	Hannover	17	8	4	5	+7	28
8	Holstein Kiel	17	6	7	4	+2	25
9	Hansa Rostock	17	6	3	8	-6	21
10	Greuther Furth	17	4	8	5	-4	20
11	Nurnberg	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Regensburg	17	5	4	8	-10	19
13	Karlsruhe	18	5	3	10	-5	18
14	Braunschweig	17	4	6	7	-8	18
15	St Pauli	17	3	8	6	-2	17
16	Bielefeld	17	5	2	10	-5	17
17	Magdeburg	18	5	2	11	-14	17
18	Sandhausen	17	4	4	9	-8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	6	1	2	+10	19
3	Darmstadt	9	5	4	0	+9	19
4	Paderborn	9	6	0	3	+15	18
5	Hannover	8	5	2	1	+6	17
6	Hamburg	9	5	1	3	+5	16
7	St Pauli	8	3	5	0	+7	14
8	Greuther Furth	9	3	5	1	+1	14
9	Kaiserslautern	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Regensburg	9	3	4	2	-4	13
11	Holstein Kiel	8	3	3	2	+4	12
12	Bielefeld	8	4	0	4	+2	12
13	Sandhausen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Braunschweig	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Karlsruhe	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Hansa Rostock	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Magdeburg	8	2	1	5	-7	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	8	6	0	2	+5	18
2	Darmstadt	8	5	2	1	+3	17
3	Kaiserslautern	8	4	4	0	+6	16
4	Heidenheim	9	3	4	2	+2	13
5	Holstein Kiel	9	3	4	2	-2	13
6	Hannover	9	3	2	4	+1	11
7	Paderborn	9	3	2	4	-1	11
8	Hansa Rostock	8	3	2	3	-3	11
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	3	1	5	-3	10
10	Magdeburg	10	3	1	6	-7	10
11	Nurnberg	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Karlsruhe	8	2	1	5	-3	7
13	Braunschweig	8	1	4	3	-7	7
14	Greuther Furth	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Regensburg	8	2	0	6	-6	6
16	Bielefeld	9	1	2	6	-7	5
17	Sandhausen	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	St Pauli	9	0	3	6	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.