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Pro League

Referee: W De Cremer

St Truiden

T S S S T

3–1

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 36%

23%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

55%

74%

Both score Ø 71%

64%

78%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

12 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

2 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Truiden 16. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	25	13	3	9	+6	42
2	Club Brugge	20	12	4	4	+27	40
3	Genk	22	11	7	4	+17	40
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	23	11	6	6	+8	39
5	Antwerp	20	11	5	4	+12	38
6	Charleroi	23	10	4	9	+4	34
7	Standard	21	9	6	6	+6	33
8	Beerschot VA	23	10	3	10	-5	33
9	Kortrijk	23	9	5	9	-2	32
10	Mechelen	21	9	4	8	-1	31
11	Eupen	23	7	10	6	-5	31
12	Anderlecht	20	7	9	4	+8	30
13	Gent	21	9	2	10	+6	29
14	Oostende	20	8	5	7	+4	29
15	Cercle Brugge	23	7	1	15	-9	22
16	St Truiden	22	5	6	11	-10	21
17	Mouscron	21	5	5	11	-13	20
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	21	5	5	11	-13	20
19	Waasland-Beveren	21	5	4	12	-20	19
20	Beveren	21	5	4	12	-20	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beerschot VA	12	7	2	3	+6	23
2	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	7	2	3	+5	23
3	Genk	10	6	4	0	+15	22
4	Oostende	11	6	3	2	+10	21
5	Kortrijk	13	6	2	5	+0	20
6	Club Brugge	10	6	1	3	+9	19
7	Antwerp	10	5	4	1	+6	19
8	Anderlecht	9	4	5	0	+7	17
9	Waregem	13	5	2	6	-5	17
10	Standard	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Charleroi	11	5	1	5	+2	16
12	Mechelen	12	4	2	6	-1	14
13	St Truiden	11	3	4	4	+0	13
14	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-4	13
15	Mouscron	10	3	3	4	+0	12
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	10	3	3	4	+0	12
17	Gent	9	3	1	5	+3	10
18	Cercle Brugge	12	3	0	9	-6	9
19	Waasland-Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7
20	Beveren	10	2	1	7	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	12	8	1	3	+11	25
2	Club Brugge	10	6	3	1	+18	21
3	Antwerp	10	6	1	3	+6	19
4	Gent	12	6	1	5	+3	19
5	Charleroi	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Genk	12	5	3	4	+2	18
7	Eupen	12	4	6	2	-1	18
8	Standard	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Mechelen	9	5	2	2	+0	17
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Anderlecht	11	3	4	4	+1	13
12	Cercle Brugge	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Kortrijk	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Waasland-Beveren	11	3	3	5	-7	12
15	Beveren	11	3	3	5	-7	12
16	Beerschot VA	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Oostende	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	St Truiden	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.