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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
3–1
Full-time
Paris FC
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Paris FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
32%
37%
Points per game
1,3
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
42%
37%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
47%
Average goals
2,4
1,9
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 10. · Paris FC 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 19 12 6 1 +22 42
2 Sochaux 20 10 3 7 +11 33
3 Bordeaux 19 9 6 4 +11 33
4 Metz 19 9 4 6 +9 31
5 Grenoble 19 8 6 5 +3 30
6 Amiens 19 8 5 6 +2 29
7 Caen 19 7 7 5 +3 28
8 Bastia 19 8 4 7 -3 28
9 Paris FC 19 7 6 6 -2 27
10 Quevilly Rouen 19 6 7 6 -1 25
11 Valenciennes 19 6 7 6 -1 25
12 Annecy 19 6 6 7 +1 24
13 Guingamp 19 6 6 7 -3 24
14 Laval 19 7 2 10 -6 23
15 Pau FC 19 5 7 7 -6 22
16 Dijon 19 5 6 8 -1 21
17 St Etienne 20 5 6 9 -6 21
18 Rodez 19 4 7 8 -8 19
19 Niort 19 4 5 10 -14 17
20 Nimes 19 4 4 11 -11 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Quevilly Rouen Paris FC
1–0 G. Sangaré
I. Soumaré
15′
Gustavo Sangaré 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Yvann Maçon
Syam Ben Youssef 🟨
56′
2–0 L. Mafouta
M. Bangré
62′
63′
🔁 W. Caddy
↦ Y. Maçon
63′
🔁 L. Gueho
↦ M. Bernauer
63′
🔁 J. López
↦ J. Iglesias
M. Camara 🔁
↦ M. Bangré
66′
S. Loric 🔁
↦ J. Pendant
66′
76′
🟨 Loup Gueho
A. Bonnet 🔁
↦ G. Gbellé
78′
78′
🔁 M. Chahiri
↦ A. Gory
78′
🔁 L. Phiri
↦ P. Lasne
82′
J. López 2–1
J. Lefort
86′
🟨 Morgan Guilavogui
3–1 I. Soumaré
87′
A. Jung 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
88′
Y. Boé-Kane 🔁
↦ G. Sangaré
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Quevilly Rouen

4-1-4-1
1 N. Lemaître G
2 A. Sissoko D
15 S. Ben Youssef D
5 T. Cissokho D
24 J. Pendant D
6 K. Sidibé M
7 M. Bangré M
17 G. Sangaré M
12 G. Gbellé M
45 I. Soumaré M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
19 M. Camara
22 S. Loric
10 A. Bonnet
29 A. Jung
13 Y. Boé-Kane
18 C. Diedhiou
16 Y. Thuram-Ulien

Coach: O. Echouafni

Paris FC

5-3-2
1 V. Demarconnay G
8 Y. Maçon D
31 S. Chergui D
24 M. Bernauer D
15 J. Lefort D
29 F. Hanin D
6 P. Lasne M
14 C. Mandouki M
10 J. Iglesias M
27 A. Gory F
21 M. Guilavogui F
Bench (7)
22 W. Caddy
33 L. Gueho
20 J. López
7 M. Chahiri
12 L. Phiri
16 O. Nkambadio
25 Y. Koré

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
3,05
B
2,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,38
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.