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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
4–1
Full-time
St Truiden
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
9%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 69%
73%
64%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17. · St Truiden 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +16 25
2 Anderlecht 11 6 4 1 +14 22
3 Kortrijk 13 6 3 4 +3 21
4 Genk 11 6 2 3 +9 20
5 Antwerp 11 6 2 3 +6 20
6 Eupen 13 6 2 5 +5 20
7 Oostende 13 6 2 5 -3 20
8 Club Brugge 9 5 3 1 +6 18
9 Standard 13 5 3 5 -6 18
10 Charleroi 10 4 5 1 +9 17
11 Mechelen 11 5 2 4 -1 17
12 St Truiden 11 4 3 4 -2 15
13 Waregem 13 3 4 6 -11 13
14 Seraing 12 4 0 8 -8 12
15 Seraing United 12 4 0 8 -8 12
16 Gent 9 3 2 4 +4 11
17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 1 7 3 -8 10
18 Cercle Brugge 13 2 3 8 -7 9
19 Beerschot VA 12 0 2 10 -18 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven St Truiden
42′
🟨 Dimitri Lavalėe
Half-time 0–0
59′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ S. De Ridder
T. Vlietinck 🔁
↦ Mousa Al-Tamari
60′
1–0 S. Kaba
Mousa Al-Tamari
60′
61′
🟨 Toni Leistner
63′
D. Lavalée 1–1
64′
🔁 T. Ito
↦ L. Cacace
2–1 S. Schrijvers
67′
77′
🟨 Toni Leistner
77′
🟥 Toni Leistner
3–1 S. Kaba
78′
4–1 M. Maertens
X. Mercier
82′
83′
🔁 D. Hashioka
↦ D. Hayashi
Mathieu Maertens ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
84′
A. De Sart 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
90′
M. Kukharevych 🔁
↦ S. Kaba
91′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
90 R. Romo G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
14 T. Vlietinck
17 M. Kukharevych
21 A. De Sart
13 R. Rúnarsson
5 P. Ngawa
7 Y. Aguemon
4 K. Malinov

Coach: M. Brys

St Truiden

3-5-2
21 D. Schmidt G
26 Jorge Teixeira D
37 T. Leistner D
27 D. Lavalée D
13 L. Cacace M
16 S. De Ridder M
20 R. Bauer M
32 C. Durkin M
6 M. Konaté M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
8 R. Reitz
23 T. Ito
4 D. Hashioka
30 N. Balongo
14 A. Koita
1 K. Steppe
39 Jonathan Buatu

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,34
U
3,42
B
2,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,79
U2,5
2,01
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.