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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Gent
S S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Genk
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 52%
53%
50%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
47%
57%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
53%
Average goals
2,4
3,3
Scored
1,6
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
13 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Genk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 30 23 4 3 +54 73
2 Club Brugge 31 22 5 4 +38 71
3 Anderlecht 30 19 8 3 +48 65
4 Antwerp 31 19 5 7 +21 62
5 Gent 30 16 8 6 +26 56
6 St Truiden 36 16 6 14 +2 54
7 Charleroi 31 15 7 9 +13 52
8 Genk 30 15 5 10 +25 50
9 Mechelen 31 15 5 11 +0 50
10 Cercle Brugge 36 13 9 14 +4 48
11 Kortrijk 36 11 10 15 -1 43
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 10 12 14 -13 42
13 Oostende 36 11 8 17 -26 41
14 Standard 36 10 9 17 -19 39
15 Waregem 36 9 8 19 -30 35
16 Eupen 36 8 9 19 -25 33
17 Seraing United 35 9 4 22 -37 31
18 Seraing 34 8 4 22 -38 28
19 Beerschot VA 36 5 4 27 -41 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
Matisse Samoise 🟨
-5′
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 🟨
34′
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 🟨
35′
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe 🟥
35′
Darko Lemajić 🟨
41′
J. Okumu 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
46′
🔁 J. Paintsil
↦ P. Hrošovský
46′
🔁 L. Oyen
↦ A. Ouattara
M. Samoise 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
57′
73′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
74′
🔁 M. Trésor
↦ Á. Preciado
E. Owusu 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
80′
B. Godeau 🔁
↦ Núrio Fortuna
80′
Y. Malede 🔁
↦ D. Lemajić
81′
86′
🟨 Joseph Paintsil
89′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ K. Thorstvedt
91′
A. Németh 0–1
J. Paintsil
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-1-2
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngadeu D
25 Núrio Fortuna M
20 J. Torunarigha D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe F
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus F
13 J. De Sart M
11 D. Lemajić F
Bench (7)
2 J. Okumu
18 M. Samoise
6 E. Owusu
31 B. Godeau
23 Y. Malede
1 S. Bolat
19 G. Bruno

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Genk

4-3-3
26 M. Vandevoordt G
33 J. Lucumí D
2 M. McKenzie D
77 Á. Preciado D
5 G. Arteaga D
4 A. Ouattara M
17 P. Hrošovský M
8 B. Heynen M
42 K. Thorstvedt F
18 P. Onuachu F
10 T. Bongonda F
Bench (7)
28 J. Paintsil
24 L. Oyen
11 M. Trésor
35 A. Németh
3 Mujaid Sadick
40 T. Leysen
23 D. Muñoz

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,78
U
3,85
B ✓
4,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.