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Pro League

Referee: N Laforge

Mechelen

U U U S T

1–0

Full-time

Charleroi

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 49%

47%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

60%

63%

Both score Ø 49%

60%

37%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 5

12 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 10. · Charleroi 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	30	23	4	3	+54	73
2	Club Brugge	30	21	5	4	+37	68
3	Anderlecht	30	19	8	3	+48	65
4	Antwerp	30	19	5	6	+22	62
5	Gent	30	16	8	6	+26	56
6	St Truiden	36	16	6	14	+2	54
7	Charleroi	30	15	7	8	+14	52
8	Genk	30	15	5	10	+25	50
9	Cercle Brugge	36	13	9	14	+4	48
10	Mechelen	30	14	5	11	-1	47
11	Kortrijk	36	11	10	15	-1	43
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	36	10	12	14	-13	42
13	Oostende	36	11	8	17	-26	41
14	Standard	36	10	9	17	-19	39
15	Waregem	36	9	8	19	-30	35
16	Eupen	36	8	9	19	-25	33
17	Seraing United	35	9	4	22	-37	31
18	Seraing	34	8	4	22	-38	28
19	Beerschot VA	36	5	4	27	-41	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	15	10	4	1	+26	34
2	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	34
3	Gent	15	10	3	2	+23	33
4	St. Gilloise	15	10	3	2	+21	33
5	Mechelen	15	10	2	3	+13	32
6	Genk	15	9	3	3	+22	30
7	Antwerp	15	9	3	3	+12	30
8	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	+5	27
9	Charleroi	15	7	4	4	+10	25
10	Cercle Brugge	18	7	4	7	+5	25
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	7	4	7	-2	25
12	Kortrijk	18	6	4	8	+1	22
13	Waregem	18	6	4	8	-8	22
14	Oostende	18	5	4	9	-18	19
15	Seraing	17	5	3	9	-14	18
16	Seraing United	17	5	3	9	-14	18
17	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-12	16
18	Beerschot VA	18	5	1	12	-14	16
19	Standard	18	3	5	10	-12	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	13	1	1	+33	40
2	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+19	34
3	Antwerp	15	10	2	3	+10	32
4	Anderlecht	15	9	4	2	+22	31
5	Charleroi	15	8	3	4	+4	27
6	St Truiden	18	8	3	7	-3	27
7	Standard	18	7	4	7	-7	25
8	Gent	15	6	5	4	+3	23
9	Cercle Brugge	18	6	5	7	-1	23
10	Oostende	18	6	4	8	-8	22
11	Kortrijk	18	5	6	7	-2	21
12	Genk	15	6	2	7	+3	20
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	8	7	-11	17
14	Eupen	18	4	5	9	-13	17
15	Mechelen	15	4	3	8	-14	15
16	Waregem	18	3	4	11	-22	13
17	Seraing United	18	4	1	13	-23	13
18	Seraing	17	3	1	13	-24	10
19	Beerschot VA	18	0	3	15	-27	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.