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Pro League
Referee: E Lambrechts
Anderlecht
S S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Charleroi
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 56%
61%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
61%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 1
11 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Charleroi 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 29 22 4 3 +49 70
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Antwerp 29 19 4 6 +22 61
4 Anderlecht 28 17 8 3 +43 59
5 Gent 29 15 8 6 +21 53
6 St Truiden 35 15 6 14 -1 51
7 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
8 Cercle Brugge 35 13 8 14 +4 47
9 Mechelen 29 14 5 10 +1 47
10 Kortrijk 35 11 10 14 +0 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 10 12 13 -8 42
12 Genk 27 12 5 10 +16 41
13 Standard 35 10 9 16 -16 39
14 Oostende 35 10 8 17 -28 38
15 Waregem 35 9 8 18 -27 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 33 8 4 21 -36 28
18 Seraing United 33 8 4 21 -36 28
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
1–0 C. Kouamé
Y. Verschaeren
19′
A. Ait El Hadj 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
37′
Half-time 1–0
Kristoffer Olsson 🟨
60′
2–0 J. Zirkzee
C. Kouamé
61′
63′
🟨 Vakoun Issouf Bayo
70′
🔁 A. Gholizadeh
↦ D. Heymans
70′
🔁 I. Mbenza
↦ J. Tchatchoua
B. Raman 🔁
↦ J. Zirkzee
73′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
73′
3–0 F. Amuzu
Sergio Gómez
79′
80′
🔁 A. Zaroury
↦ V. Bayo
80′
🔁 R. Morioka
↦ M. Ilaimaharitra
M. Kana 🔁
↦ K. Olsson
84′
B. Mykhaylichenko 🔁
↦ Sergio Gómez
84′
85′
🟨 Ali Gholizadeh
4–0 M. Murillo
86′
87′
🔁 M. Wasinski
↦ A. Zorgane
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
2 L. Magallán D
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
17 Sergio Gómez D
11 L. Refaelov M
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
10 Y. Verschaeren M
99 C. Kouamé F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
46 A. Ait El Hadj
9 B. Raman
7 F. Amuzu
55 M. Kana
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
52 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen

Coach: V. Kompany

Charleroi

3-4-1-2
16 H. Koffi G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
21 S. Andreou D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
18 D. Heymans F
6 A. Zorgane M
38 J. Tchatchoua M
9 V. Bayo F
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
8 A. Gholizadeh
7 I. Mbenza
70 A. Zaroury
44 R. Morioka
31 M. Wasinski
1 B. Kamara
5 L. Bessilé

Coach: E. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,47
U
4,56
B
6,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,25
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E Lambrechts · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.