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Pro League
3–1
Full-time
Mechelen
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 19/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
21%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
58%
80%
Both score Ø 69%
58%
80%
Average goals
3,1
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Mechelen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +19 28
2 Gent 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 Oostende 13 8 3 2 +13 27
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 Genk 12 7 1 4 +4 22
6 St Truiden 17 7 1 9 -5 22
7 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
8 Charleroi 13 5 4 4 +3 19
9 Standard 14 6 1 7 -8 19
10 Mechelen 15 5 3 7 -6 18
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 4 4 6 -2 16
12 Beveren 14 5 1 8 -9 16
13 Westerlo 20 3 7 10 -20 16
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 4 3 12 -12 15
15 Lokeren 14 4 2 8 -4 14
16 Kortrijk 12 2 6 4 -3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Mechelen
31′
S. Hanni 0–1
T. Matthys
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Y. Croizet
L. Trossard
52′
2–1 A. Cerigioni
56′
61′
🔁 D. Veselinović
↦ J. Naessens
62′
🔁 J. Vanlerberghe
↦ M. Rits
R. Regales 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
74′
3–1 J. Bostock
76′
78′
🔁 G. Claes
↦ T. Matthys
T. Azevedo 🔁
↦ S. Asamoah
80′
S. Urošević 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
15 J. Bostock
12 K. Houdret
10 Y. Croizet
11 A. Cerigioni
19 L. Trossard
22 S. Asamoah
Bench (7)
9 R. Regales
14 T. Azevedo
17 S. Urošević
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
16 K. Rougkalas
25 N. Delporte

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
15 E. Cocalić
5 M. Satli
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
20 J. Van Damme
11 M. Rits
99 N. Verdier
17 J. Naessens
Bench (7)
9 D. Veselinović
30 J. Vanlerberghe
77 G. Claes
3 V. Volkov
10 R. Wolski
12 S. De Petter
49 A. Moris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.