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Pro League
Referee: W Alen
3–1
Full-time
Kortrijk
T U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 40%
41%
38%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
69%
66%
Both score Ø 64%
76%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 28
4 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 6
8 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6. · Kortrijk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 17 4 4 +35 55
2 Antwerp 26 16 5 5 +17 53
3 Waregem 30 14 4 12 +2 46
4 Genk 25 12 9 4 +18 45
5 Mechelen 26 13 5 8 +5 44
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 12 8 9 +3 44
7 Beerschot VA 28 12 4 12 -4 40
8 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +2 39
9 Kortrijk 29 11 6 12 -1 39
10 Anderlecht 26 8 14 4 +11 38
11 Standard 24 10 7 7 +5 37
12 Eupen 29 8 13 8 -8 37
13 Gent 26 10 6 10 +9 36
14 Oostende 24 10 5 9 +5 35
15 St Truiden 29 8 7 14 -9 31
16 Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
17 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 8 12 -14 26
18 Cercle Brugge 28 8 1 19 -14 25
19 Waasland-Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21
20 Beveren 26 5 6 15 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Kortrijk
1–0 T. Henry
X. Mercier
10′
2–0 T. Henry
V. Jemelka
20′
Kristiyan Malinov 🟨
34′
Kristiyan Malinov 🟨
36′
Kristiyan Malinov 🟥
36′
38′
🟨 Evgeny Makarenko
3–0 K. Sowah
T. Henry
40′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 Z. Gano
↦ M. Jonckheere
52′
Z. Gano 3–1
F. Selemani
60′
🔁 G. Hendrickx
↦ A. Palaversa
P. Ngawa 🔁
↦ Musa Al-Taamari
67′
D. Tshimanga 🔁
↦ T. Raemaekers
67′
70′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ E. Ocansey
78′
🔁 P. Golubović
↦ T. Chevalier
85′
🟨 Jovan Stojanović
87′
🟨 Pape Habib Gueye
I. Asante 🔁
↦ D. Hubert
95′
D. Vekemans 🔁
↦ T. Vlietinck
96′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

4-3-3
90 R. Romo G
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
28 T. Raemaekers D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
11 T. Vlietinck D
14 K. Sowah F
9 T. Henry F
13 Musa Al-Taamari F
Bench (7)
5 P. Ngawa
3 D. Tshimanga
20 I. Asante
32 D. Vekemans
1 K. Thamsatchanan
16 S. Schrijvers
26 J. Eppiah

Coach: M. Brys

Kortrijk

4-3-3
31 M. Ilić G
76 T. Derijck D
6 L. Rougeaux D
4 G. Dewaele D
25 Y. Makarenko M
27 M. Jonckheere M
8 A. Palaversa M
9 T. Chevalier F
10 F. Selemani F
51 E. Ocansey D
17 H. Guèye F
Bench (7)
93 Z. Gano
22 G. Hendrickx
11 J. Stojanović
2 P. Golubović
66 A. Radovanović
1 A. Jakubech
5 T. Sainsbury

Coach: L. Elsner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
3,47
B
2,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,08
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.