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Pro League
Referee: Wesley Alen
2–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 6/7 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
29%
Points per game
1,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
71%
Both score Ø 68%
50%
86%
Average goals
2,5
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Corners 5
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 9. · Kortrijk 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Standard 8 6 0 2 +14 18
2 Club Brugge 7 5 2 0 +14 17
3 Antwerp 7 5 0 2 +9 15
4 Charleroi 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 Mouscron 7 4 2 1 +3 14
6 Gent 7 4 1 2 +9 13
7 Genk 8 4 1 3 +5 13
8 Mechelen 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 6 3 2 1 +1 11
10 Waregem 7 3 2 2 +0 11
11 Oostende 7 3 1 3 -3 10
12 St Truiden 9 2 3 4 -7 9
13 Kortrijk 7 2 2 3 +0 8
14 Anderlecht 8 1 3 4 -4 6
15 Cercle Brugge 8 2 0 6 -9 6
16 Eupen 9 0 4 5 -14 4
17 Waasland-Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2
18 Beveren 7 0 2 5 -14 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Kortrijk
Fabrice Olinga 🟨
35′
1–0 Diogo Queirós
R. Pietrzak
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ E. Ocansey
46′
🔁 J. De Sart
↦ C. Lepoint
51′
🟨 Lucas Rougeaux
52′
🟨 Elohim Rolland
N. Antonov 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
58′
Frank Boya 🟨
62′
63′
🔁 H. Kage
↦ A. Ajagun
68′
🟨 Lucas Rougeaux
68′
🟥 Lucas Rougeaux
2–0 Aleix García
J. Osabutey
73′
M. Bakić 🔁
↦ J. Osabutey
74′
Marko Bakić 🟨
78′
S. Perica 🔁
↦ S. Allagui
81′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-1-4-1
1 J. Butez G
25 R. Pietrzak D
33 K. Wimmer D
4 N. De Medina D
23 Diogo Queirós D
6 D. Hočko M
24 Aleix García M
15 F. Boya M
9 S. Allagui F
7 F. Olinga F
45 J. Osabutey F
Bench (7)
3 N. Antonov
10 M. Bakić
18 S. Perica
31 B. Godeau
16 C. Libertiaux
32 Jonathan Buatu
30 B. Van Durmen

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Kortrijk

4-1-4-1
1 S. Bruzzese G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene F
6 L. Rougeaux D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
8 A. Ajagun M
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
26 E. Rolland M
7 I. Mboyo F
51 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
23 J. De Sart
10 H. Kage
18 N. Mujakić
39 I. Ezekiel
21 A. Jakubech
2 P. Golubović

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wesley Alen · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.