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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'hondt
Kortrijk
U T T T T
4–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 10/11 matches
Win Ø 24%
20%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
60%
36%
Both score Ø 53%
70%
36%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

16 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
3 Corners 2
16 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · St Truiden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +20 23
2 Standard 10 7 1 2 +17 22
3 Antwerp 9 6 1 2 +11 19
4 Mechelen 11 5 3 3 +0 18
5 Gent 9 5 2 2 +11 17
6 Genk 10 5 2 3 +7 17
7 Waregem 11 4 5 2 +6 17
8 Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 4 4 1 +3 16
10 Charleroi 10 4 3 3 +4 15
11 St Truiden 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Anderlecht 12 2 5 5 -4 11
13 Oostende 11 3 2 6 -9 11
14 Kortrijk 10 2 2 6 -5 8
15 Waasland-Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
16 Beveren 10 1 4 5 -12 7
17 Eupen 12 1 4 7 -18 7
18 Cercle Brugge 11 2 0 9 -18 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk St Truiden
1–0 I. Mboyo
14′
2–0 F. Hornby
I. Mboyo
32′
3–0 G. Kagelmacher
41′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 T. Ito
↦ Alan Sousa
61′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
61′
🔁 S. Asamoah
↦ S. Mmaee
4–0 F. Hornby
I. Mboyo
70′
A. Ajagun 🔁
↦ E. Ocansey
72′
Brendan Hines-Ike 🟨
73′
A. Batsula 🔁
↦ F. Hornby
77′
77′
🔁 F. Colidio
↦ A. De Bruyn
80′
🟨 Santiago Colombatto
80′
🟥 Santiago Colombatto
V. Kovačević 🔁
↦ B. Hines-Ike
83′
Ilombe Mboyo 🟨
85′
Julien De Sart 🟨
85′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bruzzese G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
15 C. Lepoint M
30 K. D'Haene F
6 L. Rougeaux D
3 B. Hines-Ike D
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
23 J. De Sart M
7 I. Mboyo F
51 E. Ocansey F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (7)
8 A. Ajagun
29 A. Batsula
55 V. Kovačević
21 A. Jakubech
10 H. Kage
5 L. Azouni
2 P. Golubović

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

St Truiden

3-4-3
21 D. Schmidt
4 Pol García D
20 S. Mmaee D
28 T. De Smet D
7 J. Botaka F
5 S. Colombatto M
8 I. Sankhon M
11 Y. Boli F
14 A. De Bruyn M
9 Y. Suzuki F
50 Alan Sousa F
Bench (7)
23 T. Ito
12 S. Asamoah
18 F. Colidio
70 H. Masoudi
30 N. Balongo
32 C. Durkin
35 T. Herbots

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,84
U
3,90
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,52
U2,5
2,45
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lothar D'hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.