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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Costa

Portimonense

T U S T T

2–3

Full-time

Porto

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 4/5 matches

Win Ø 53%

25%

80%

Points per game

1,0

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

50%

80%

Both score Ø 35%

50%

20%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,8

Conceded

1,3

0,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+2,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%

8 Shots 21

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 10

0 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Portimonense 15. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Famalicao	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Porto	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	Benfica	5	4	0	1	+11	12
4	Tondela	6	2	3	1	+2	9
5	Boavista	4	2	2	0	+2	8
6	Santa Clara	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Moreirense	6	2	2	2	+0	8
8	Rio Ave	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Sp Lisbon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Guimaraes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
12	Vitoria Setubal	5	1	3	1	-3	6
13	Gil Vicente	6	1	3	2	-4	6
14	Belenenses	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Maritimo	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Sp Braga	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Aves	5	1	0	4	-8	3
19	Pacos Ferreira	5	0	1	4	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+5	6
3	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Gil Vicente	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Guimaraes	3	1	2	0	+4	5
7	Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Vitoria Setubal	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Santa Clara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Maritimo	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tondela	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Famalicao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+2	5
5	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Santa Clara	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Porto	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Rio Ave	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	4	0	2	2	-4	2
13	Sp Braga	4	0	1	3	-3	1
14	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-7	1
18	Gil Vicente	2	0	0	2	-5	0
19	Aves	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.