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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Boavista
T S T S T
3–1
Full-time
Moreirense
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boavista Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
30%
50%
Points per game
1,1
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
27%
43%
Both score Ø 39%
30%
47%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boavista 14. · Moreirense 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 31 25 3 3 +64 78
2 Porto 31 24 4 3 +45 76
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 4 5 +33 70
4 Sp Braga 31 20 4 7 +20 64
5 Moreirense 30 15 4 11 -1 49
6 Guimaraes 31 13 6 12 +6 45
7 Belenenses 31 9 13 9 -1 40
8 Rio Ave 31 10 9 12 -4 39
9 Santa Clara 31 10 8 13 -1 38
10 Aves 31 10 6 15 -8 36
11 Portimonense 31 10 6 15 -10 36
12 Maritimo 31 11 3 17 -17 36
13 Vitoria Setubal 31 7 12 12 -7 33
14 Boavista 30 9 5 16 -14 32
15 Tondela 31 8 7 16 -15 31
16 Chaves 31 8 7 16 -19 31
17 Nacional 31 7 6 18 -33 27
18 Feirense 31 2 9 20 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boavista Moreirense
Gustavo Sauer 🟨
9′
1–0 N. Obiora
Rafael Costa
26′
37′
🟨 Iago Santos
37′
🔁 Heriberto Tavares
↦ Ivanildo Fernandes
39′
🟨 Lucas
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Nenê
↦ Lucas
Bueno 🔁
↦ Fábio Espinho
75′
79′
🔁 B. Aouacheria
↦ Fabio Pacheco
2–0 Y. Njie
81′
F. Falcone 🔁
↦ Y. Njie
84′
3–0 F. Falcone
Bueno
86′
Nwankwo Obiora 🟨
88′
89′
🟨 Rafik Halliche
Perdigão 🔁
↦ Gustavo
90′
93′
R. Halliche 3–1
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Boavista

4-2-3-1
1 Rafael Bracalli G
20 Edu Machado D
6 Jubal D
27 Neris D
10 Fábio Espinho M
4 N. Obiora M
23 Rafael Costa M
17 Carraça D
9 Mateus M
8 Gustavo
11 Y. Njie F
Bench (7)
14 Bueno
28 F. Falcone
12 Perdigão
42 I. Mandiang
13 Assis
88 Samú
2 Gonçalo Cardoso

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Moreirense

3-4-3
1 Nuno Macedo G
23 R. Halliche D
4 Iago Santos D
82 A. D'Alberto D
14 Ivanildo Fernandes D
6 Fabio Pacheco M
91 Neto M
27 Pedro Nuno M
22 Chiquinho M
17 Lucas
77 Arsénio M
Bench (7)
73 Heriberto Tavares
11 Nenê
10 B. Aouacheria
37 Bruno Silva
8 Alan Schons
7 I. Camará
96 Rúben Rendeiro

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.