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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fábio Veríssimo
Sp Braga
S T T T S
3–1
Full-time
Moreirense
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Moreirense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 11
9 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Moreirense
29′
🔁 Luiz Henrique
↦ Filipe Soares
Nuno Sequeira 🟨
34′
38′
🟨 Bilel Aouacheria
45′
🟨 Sori Mané
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Fransérgio
48′
Wilson Eduardo 🔁
↦ Ricardo Horta
63′
2–0 Koka
64′
70′
🔁 Luís Machado
↦ Pedro Nuno
Trincão 🔁
↦ Murilo
71′
Ahmed Hassan 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 Nenê
↦ Fábio Abreu
3–0 Wilson Eduardo
João Novais
77′
Ricardo Esgaio 🔁
↦ Nuno Sequeira
84′
89′
Nenê 3–1
João Aurélio
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-3-3
1 Matheus Magalhães G
11 Diogo Viana D
5 Nuno Sequeira D
14 Pablo D
36 Bruno Viana D
6 Claudemir M
27 Fransérgio M
17 João Novais M
19 Murilo F
9 Koka F
21 Ricardo Horta F
Bench (7)
7 Wilson Eduardo
77 Trincão
47 Ricardo Esgaio
15 André Horta
20 Paulinho
12 Tiago Sá
60 João Palhinha

Coach: Sá Pinto

Moreirense

4-1-4-1
14 Mateus Pasinato G
19 S. Vitória D
2 João Aurélio D
4 Iago Santos D
20 Djavan D
26 Alex Soares M
27 Pedro Nuno M
16 Sori Mané M
21 Filipe Soares M
10 B. Aouacheria M
29 Fábio Abreu F
Bench (7)
97 Luiz Henrique
70 Luís Machado
7 Nenê
3 L. Rosić
5 A. D'Alberto
88 Pedro Trigueira
75 Abdu Conté

Coach: Vítor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,43
U
4,30
B
7,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,89
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Fábio Veríssimo · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.