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Eredivisie
Referee: Erwin Blank
AZ Alkmaar
S U U U U
2–0
Full-time
Den Haag
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
3,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,67 xG 0,95
53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 0
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 7
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Jan -21 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 2–1 25. Oct -20 Den Haag – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 7. Mar -20 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 4–0 22. Sep -19 Den Haag – AZ Alkmaar 0–1 13. Apr -19 AZ Alkmaar – Den Haag 2–3

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Den Haag
Elijah Dijkstra ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
23′
Half-time 0–0
C. Stengs 🔁
↦ Weslley Patati
57′
T. Parrott 🔁
↦ M. Meerdink
57′
57′
🔁 M. Jimenez
↦ F. de Bruin
57′
🔁 I. de Ruijter
↦ J. Hawkins
1–0 R. Daal ⚽
61′
64′
🔁 N. Thomas
↦ D. van Mieghem
64′
🔁 J. Bal
↦ E. Rottier
2–0 C. Stengs ⚽
K. Smit
68′
H. de Wit 🔁
↦ K. Smit
72′
M. de Wit 🔁
↦ M. Chavez Garcia
73′
74′
🟨 Juho Kilo
A. Oufkir 🔁
↦ R. Daal
81′
85′
🔁 L. Wilhelm
↦ P. Mulder
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
28 J. De Busser G
22 E. Dijkstra D
3 W. Goes D
16 L. Schouten D
15 M. Chavez Garcia D
21 D. Kwakman M
6 P. Koopmeiners M
7 Weslley Patati M
10 K. Smit M
11 R. Daal M
35 M. Meerdink F
Bench (12)
1 R. Owusu-Oduro
2 S. Maikuma
18 R. Ichihara
23 B. van Duijl
24 A. Oufkir
75 H. de Wit
34 M. de Wit
14 C. Stengs
9 T. Parrott
17 I. Jensen
62 J. Oerip
45 B. Kovacs

Coach: Leeroy Echteld

Den Haag

4-4-2
1 K. Nikiema G
15 M. Hokke D
3 P. Mulder D
4 M. Waem D
18 S. Sylla D
7 D. van Mieghem M
16 F. de Bruin
25 J. Kilo M
17 J. Hawkins M
11 E. Rottier F
46 Y. Eduardo F
Bench (11)
20 C. Kramer
12 S. Eekhout
27 N. Thomas
8 J. Zamburek
22 L. Wilhelm
35 S. Bergtop
14 M. Jimenez
19 L. Reischl
9 J. Bal
10 I. de Ruijter
32 D. van Loenen

Coach: Robin Peter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,44
🔒
U
4,61
🔒
B
6,08
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,48
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,50
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Erwin Blank · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.