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Champions League
Referee: A Taylor
Feyenoord
T S T S S
1–3
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,98 xG 1,23
51% Possession 49%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -23 Ath Madrid – Feyenoord 3–2

Match report

Feyenoord Ath Madrid
14′
⚽ L. Geertruida 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–0
A. Ueda 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
46′
56′
🔁 Pablo Barrios
↦ Marcos Llorente
57′
⚽ Hermoso 1–1
Pablo Barrios
O. Lingr 🔁
↦ Y. Minteh
63′
A. Milambo 🔁
↦ G. Trauner
64′
L. Ivanušec 🔁
↦ C. Stengs
70′
74′
🔁 M. Depay
↦ Álvaro Morata
74′
🔁 Saúl
↦ R. De Paul
2–1 M. Wieffer ⚽
L. Ivanušec
77′
L. Sauer 🔁
↦ Q. Timber
78′
81′
⚽ S. Giménez 3–1
own goal
84′
🔁 Á. Correa
↦ Koke
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
4 L. Geertruida D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
8 Q. Timber M
19 Y. Minteh M
10 C. Stengs M
14 Igor Paixão M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (12)
9 A. Ueda
32 O. Lingr
27 A. Milambo
17 L. Ivanušec
25 L. Sauer
22 T. Wellenreuther
3 T. Beelen
15 M. López
16 T. van den Belt
6 R. Zerrouki
31 K. Lamprou
11 J. Dilrosun

Coach: A. Slot

Ath Madrid

5-3-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
20 A. Witsel D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
25 Rodrigo Riquelme D
14 Marcos Llorente M
6 Koke M
5 R. De Paul M
19 Álvaro Morata F
7 A. Griezmann F
Bench (12)
24 Pablo Barrios
9 M. Depay
8 Saúl
10 Á. Correa
31 Antonio Gomis
23 Reinildo
17 Javi Galán
12 Samuel Lino
1 I. Grbić
3 César Azpilicueta
4 Ç. Söyüncü
15 S. Savić

Coach: D. Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.