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Champions League
Referee: S Marciniak
Lazio
S S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Feyenoord
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,12 xG 1,42
36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Oct -23 Feyenoord – Lazio 3–1 3. Nov -22 Feyenoord – Lazio 1–0 8. Sep -22 Lazio – Feyenoord 4–2

Match report

Lazio Feyenoord
1′
🟨 Bart Nieuwkoop
20′
🔁 G. Trauner
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. Immobile ⚽
Felipe Anderson
46′
M. Guendouzi 🔁
↦ D. Kamada
53′
V. Castellanos 🔁
↦ C. Immobile
63′
Pedro 🔁
↦ M. Zaccagni
63′
Matías Vecino 🟨
68′
70′
🟨 Ramiz Zerrouki
74′
🔁 L. Ivanušec
↦ Igor Paixão
74′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ G. Trauner
77′
🟨 Mats Wieffer
L. Pellegrini 🔁
↦ E. Hysaj
78′
N. Rovella 🔁
↦ M. Vecino
78′
81′
🔁 A. Ueda
↦ R. Zerrouki
81′
🔁 A. Milambo
↦ Q. Timber
Nicolò Rovella 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
29 M. Lazzari D
4 Patric D
13 A. Romagnoli D
23 E. Hysaj D
6 D. Kamada M
5 M. Vecino M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
20 M. Zaccagni F
Bench (10)
8 M. Guendouzi
19 V. Castellanos
9 Pedro
3 L. Pellegrini
65 N. Rovella
34 Mario Gila
53 F. Magro
32 D. Cataldi
33 L. Sepe
18 G. Isaksen

Coach: M. Sarri

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
6 R. Zerrouki M
8 Q. Timber M
10 C. Stengs F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (12)
18 G. Trauner
17 L. Ivanušec
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
9 A. Ueda
27 A. Milambo
31 K. Lamprou
16 T. van den Belt
3 T. Beelen
32 O. Lingr
15 M. López
11 J. Dilrosun
22 T. Wellenreuther

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Marciniak · 120 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.