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Eredivisie
Referee: J Kooij
Heracles
S T U T T
0–6
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 65%
30%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
90%
90%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
4,0
Scored
1,4
3,5
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+3,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,77 xG 5,09
36% Possession 64%
7 Shots 34
1 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 7
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 8. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 +30 +22.6 30
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 8 1 0 +21 +10.6 25
3 Twente 10 8 1 1 +14 +7.2 25
4 Feyenoord 10 7 2 1 +25 +20.3 23
5 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 3 3 +2 -8.2 15
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 -1 -3.9 15
7 Excelsior 10 3 4 3 -1 -3.2 13
8 Heracles 10 3 3 4 -8 -5.5 12
9 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 -5 -3.3 11
10 Heerenveen 10 3 1 6 -8 -5.0 10
11 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 -9 -0.8 10
12 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -2 -6.8 9
13 Waalwijk 9 3 0 6 -10 -2.3 9
14 Almere City 10 2 3 5 -11 -3.8 9
15 Ajax 9 2 2 5 -6 -3.2 8
16 Vitesse 10 2 2 6 -9 -3.8 8
17 Volendam 10 2 1 7 -10 -2.5 7
18 Utrecht 10 2 1 7 -12 -8.5 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
19′
ℹ️ Guus Til
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Justin Hoogma 🟥
21′
22′
L. de Jong 0–1
S. Čestić 🔁
↦ M. Engels
23′
Navajo Bakboord 🟨
26′
44′
J. Schouten 0–2
J. Teze
Half-time 0–2
S. Scheperman 🔁
↦ M. Vejinović
46′
J. Wieckhoff 🔁
↦ N. Bakboord
46′
46′
🔁 I. Saibari
↦ J. Schouten
54′
🔁 M. Tillman
↦ I. Saibari
60′
🔁 P. van Aanholt
↦ S. Dest
60′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ L. de Jong
64′
M. Tillman 0–3
J. Veerman
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
68′
69′
André Ramalho 0–4
R. Pepi
J. Willems 🔁
↦ T. Bruns
76′
77′
🔁 S. Sambo
↦ O. Boscagli
77′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ J. Bakayoko
84′
G. Til 0–5
H. Lozano
90′
R. Pepi 0–6
G. Til
Full-time 0–6

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
19 N. Bakboord D
4 S. Sonnenberg D
21 J. Hoogma D
12 R. Roosken D
17 T. Bruns M
14 B. De Keersmaecker M
18 M. Vejinović M
10 A. Ouahim M
29 E. Hansson M
8 M. Engels F
Bench (12)
6 S. Čestić
32 S. Scheperman
3 J. Wieckhoff
44 M. Sankoh
15 J. Willems
39 L. Wehmeyer
9 A. Satriano
28 R. Jalving
7 B. Limbombe
16 F. de Keijzer
27 M. İbrahimoğlu
35 S. Bultman

Coach: J. Lammers

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
22 J. Schouten M
23 J. Veerman M
11 J. Bakayoko M
20 G. Til M
27 H. Lozano M
9 L. de Jong F
Bench (11)
34 I. Saibari
10 M. Tillman
30 P. van Aanholt
14 R. Pepi
2 S. Sambo
32 Y. Vertessen
26 I. Babadi
31 T. Land
16 J. Drommel
24 B. Waterman
19 J. van Duiven

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
11,44
U
7,15
B ✓
1,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,26
U2,5
3,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Kooij · 92 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.