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Eredivisie

Referee: M Nagtegaal

PSV Eindhoven

S S S T S

3–0

Full-time

Go Ahead Eagles

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

4,3

3,8

Scored

3,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 80%

100%

60%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

3,6

4,2

Scored

3,4

2,4

Conceded

0,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,2

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,37 xG 0,80

65% Possession 35%

23 Shots 9

11 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Go Ahead Eagles 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+16	+10.4	15
2	AZ Alkmaar	5	5	0	0	+13	+4.5	15
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	+18	+13.1	14
4	Twente	5	4	0	1	+8	+4.1	12
5	Sparta Rotterdam	6	3	2	1	+2	+0.4	11
6	Go Ahead Eagles	5	3	1	1	+3	-2.3	10
7	Excelsior	6	2	3	1	+2	-2.6	9
8	For Sittard	6	2	3	1	+0	+2.2	9
9	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	+0	-6.0	7
10	Heracles	5	2	1	2	-2	-2.9	7
11	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-4	+2.5	7
12	Heerenveen	6	2	0	4	-7	-5.9	6
13	Waalwijk	6	2	0	4	-8	+1.0	6
14	Ajax	5	1	2	2	-3	-1.1	5
15	Vitesse	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.4	3
16	Utrecht	6	1	0	5	-10	-4.8	3
17	Volendam	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.5	1
18	Almere City	6	0	1	5	-14	-6.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.2	9
2	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+10	+5.9	7
3	For Sittard	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.9	7
4	AZ Alkmaar	2	2	0	0	+6	+3.4	6
5	PSV Eindhoven	2	2	0	0	+6	+6.2	6
6	Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	+5	+0.8	6
7	Twente	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.8	6
8	Heracles	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
9	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.4	5
10	Zwolle	4	1	1	2	-3	+2.4	4
11	Excelsior	3	0	3	0	+0	-2.3	3
12	Ajax	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
13	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.8	3
14	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-5	-0.5	3
15	Volendam	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.0	1
16	Vitesse	3	0	0	3	-6	-2.9	0
17	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	-6	-3.2	0
18	Almere City	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	+4.2	9
2	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
3	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+8	+7.2	7
4	Twente	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.3	6
5	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.3	6
6	Sparta Rotterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.9	6
7	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.5	3
8	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.4	3
10	Heerenveen	3	1	0	2	-4	-5.1	3
11	Utrecht	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
12	Ajax	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
13	For Sittard	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.7	2
14	Heracles	2	0	1	1	-3	-3.3	1
15	Go Ahead Eagles	2	0	1	1	-4	-4.5	1
16	Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	-5	-6.8	1
17	Almere City	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.5	1
18	Volendam	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.