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League Cup
Referee: A Kitchen
Blackburn
S T S T T
5–2
Full-time
Cardiff
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Cardiff
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
7,5
4,0
Scored
6,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+4,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

57% Possession 43%
20 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 5. · Cardiff 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0 +5 9
2 Ipswich 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Port Vale 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Exeter City 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 +9 6
6 Stoke 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Burnley 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Leicester 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Mansfield Town 3 1 2 0 +2 5
11 Reading 2 1 1 0 +4 4
12 Cardiff 2 1 1 0 +2 4
13 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
14 Newport County 2 1 1 0 +2 4
15 Lincoln 2 1 1 0 +2 4
16 Leeds 2 1 1 0 +1 4
17 Sutton Utd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
18 Wolves 2 1 0 1 +4 3
19 Bristol City 2 1 0 1 +3 3
20 Man United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Swansea 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Gillingham 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Chelsea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Wycombe 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Everton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Peterborough 3 0 3 0 +0 3
29 AFC Wimbledon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Luton 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Crystal Palace 2 1 0 1 -1 3
34 Bolton 2 1 0 1 -1 3
35 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 -3 3
36 Harrogate Town 2 1 0 1 -7 3
37 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0 +0 2
38 Stevenage 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Crewe 2 0 2 0 +0 2
40 Wrexham 2 0 2 0 +0 2
41 Bradford 3 0 2 1 -2 2
42 Salford City 3 0 2 1 -4 2
43 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Colchester 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Cambridge United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Fulham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Tottenham 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Morecambe 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Swindon Town 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Accrington ST 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Brentford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Watford 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Sheffield United 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Tranmere 2 0 1 1 -2 1
59 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 -5 1
60 Walsall 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Fleetwood Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Shrewsbury 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Hull 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 West Brom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Crawley Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Coventry 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Nott'm Forest 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 QPR 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Barrow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Carlisle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Forest Green 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Charlton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Southampton 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Leyton Orient 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Notts County 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Millwall 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Cardiff
1–0 J. Garrett
J. Hill
13′
18′
C. Robinson 1–1
R. Colwill
2–1 A. Sigurðsson
A. Moran
36′
Half-time 2–1
C. Brittain 🔁
↦ H. Pickering
46′
48′
K. Etete 2–2
R. Sawyers
3–2 A. Moran
49′
4–2 A. Moran
C. Brittain
54′
S. Szmodics 🔁
↦ A. Sigurðsson
60′
60′
🔁 J. Crole
↦ K. Etete
60′
🔁 J. Beecher
↦ K. Evans
5–2 D. Markanday
A. Moran
69′
70′
🔁 C. Ashford
↦ O. Tanner
71′
🔁 J. Colwill
↦ C. Robinson
Z. Gilsenan 🔁
↦ S. Telalović
73′
L. Travis 🔁
↦ J. Garrett
73′
H. Carter 🔁
↦ D. Markanday
79′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
12 L. Wahlstedt G
11 J. Rankin-Costello D
4 J. Hill D
16 S. Wharton D
3 H. Pickering D
6 S. Tronstad M
30 J. Garrett M
18 D. Markanday M
24 A. Moran M
7 A. Sigurðsson M
33 S. Telalović F
Bench (9)
2 C. Brittain
8 S. Szmodics
22 Z. Gilsenan
27 L. Travis
17 H. Carter
1 A. Pears
5 D. Hyam
37 T. Bloxham
23 A. Wharton

Coach: J. Tomasson

Cardiff

3-4-2-1
13 R. Rúnarsson G
2 M. Romeo D
18 E. Adams D
24 J. Panzo D
32 O. Tanner M
19 R. Sawyers M
35 A. Rinomhota M
25 K. Evans M
27 R. Colwill F
47 C. Robinson F
9 K. Etete F
Bench (9)
33 J. Crole
40 J. Beecher
45 C. Ashford
34 J. Colwill
37 V. Campbell
50 C. Twose
49 L. Giles
41 M. Turner
31 M. Fagan-Walcott

Coach: E. Bulut

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Kitchen · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.