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Super League

Referee: N Gianforte

Lugano

T T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Lausanne

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Lausanne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 32%

50%

14%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

83%

71%

Both score Ø 68%

50%

86%

Average goals

4,0

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

1,8

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 5

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 7. · Lausanne 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	8	4	4	0	+9	-0.3	16
2	Young Boys	6	4	2	0	+8	+0.7	14
3	Luzern	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.6	14
4	St. Gallen	7	3	3	1	+2	+2.4	12
5	Winterthur	7	3	2	2	+0	-0.4	11
6	Yverdon	7	3	2	2	-2	-2.6	11
7	Lugano	6	3	0	3	+2	+2.2	9
8	Servette	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.5	6
9	Grasshoppers	8	1	2	5	-5	-0.3	5
10	Lausanne	7	1	2	4	-5	+0.5	5
11	Basel	6	1	1	4	-2	-0.4	4
12	Lausanne Ouchy	6	1	1	4	-7	-0.6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	3	1	0	+6	-1.2	10
2	Luzern	4	3	1	0	+4	-1.0	10
3	Young Boys	3	3	0	0	+7	+1.1	9
4	St. Gallen	3	3	0	0	+3	+0.7	9
5	Winterthur	4	2	2	0	+3	+1.4	8
6	Yverdon	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.3	7
7	Lugano	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.4	6
8	Basel	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.1	4
9	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-1	-0.9	4
10	Lausanne Ouchy	4	1	1	2	-5	+0.0	4
11	Servette	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.6	2
12	Lausanne	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zurich	4	1	3	0	+3	+0.9	6
2	Young Boys	3	1	2	0	+1	-0.4	5
3	Luzern	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.3	4
4	Servette	4	1	1	2	-3	+1.1	4
5	Yverdon	4	1	1	2	-6	-2.9	4
6	Lausanne	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.6	3
7	St. Gallen	4	0	3	1	-1	+1.7	3
8	Winterthur	3	1	0	2	-3	-1.8	3
9	Lugano	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
10	Grasshoppers	4	0	1	3	-4	+0.6	1
11	Lausanne Ouchy	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.6	0
12	Basel	3	0	0	3	-4	-0.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.