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Serie A

Referee: L Massimi

Inter

S S S U S

1–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

0,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 70%

100%

40%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 40%

20%

60%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,8

1,8

Conceded

0,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+2,6

-0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,02

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 1. · Sassuolo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	5	5	0	0	+13	+8.5	15
2	Milan	6	5	0	1	+5	+3.4	15
3	Juventus	6	4	1	1	+6	+6.3	13
4	Atalanta	6	4	0	2	+6	+4.0	12
5	Lecce	6	3	2	1	+3	-2.6	11
6	Fiorentina	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.8	10
7	Napoli	5	2	2	1	+3	+6.2	8
8	Frosinone	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.2	8
9	Torino	5	2	2	1	+1	-1.0	8
10	Verona	6	2	1	3	-2	-3.3	7
11	Bologna	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.1	6
12	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	-2	-4.3	6
13	Roma	5	1	2	2	+5	+4.2	5
14	Monza	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.3	5
15	Lazio	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.6	4
16	Genoa	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.3	4
17	Udinese	5	0	3	2	-5	+0.2	3
18	Salernitana	6	0	3	3	-6	-6.1	3
19	Empoli	6	1	0	5	-12	-4.1	3
20	Cagliari	6	0	2	4	-7	-4.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Inter	3	3	0	0	+10	+6.9	9
2	Lecce	3	3	0	0	+4	+1.2	9
3	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.5	7
4	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.9	6
5	Milan	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.9	6
6	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.6	6
7	Frosinone	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.0	6
8	Torino	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.4	5
9	Roma	3	1	1	1	+6	+3.0	4
10	Monza	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
11	Fiorentina	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
12	Verona	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.8	4
13	Bologna	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.2	4
14	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+4.0	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-3	-0.9	3
16	Salernitana	3	0	2	1	-3	-1.0	2
17	Lazio	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
18	Genoa	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
19	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.7	1
20	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-5	+0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Milan	4	3	0	1	+1	+0.5	9
2	Juventus	3	2	0	1	+3	+2.8	6
3	Inter	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.6	6
4	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.1	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+1	-4.3	6
6	Napoli	3	1	2	0	+2	+2.2	5
7	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
8	Genoa	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.7	3
9	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.3	3
10	Verona	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
11	Bologna	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
12	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
13	Udinese	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.5	2
14	Lecce	3	0	2	1	-1	-3.8	2
15	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.2	1
16	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-3	-5.1	1
17	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.4	1
18	Monza	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.7	1
19	Sassuolo	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.9	0
20	Empoli	2	0	0	2	-9	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.