Puchar Polski
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Stal Stalowa Wola
Znicz Pruszków
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Wisła Puławy
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 6 |
| 2 |
Polonia Warszawa
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Garbarnia Kraków
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 4 |
Piast Gliwice
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 5 |
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Widzew Lodz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Stal Brzeg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 8 |
Znicz Pruszków
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Carina Gubin
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Stal Rzeszów
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Podbeskidzie
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Jagiellonia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Arka Gdynia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Chojniczanka Chojnice
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 |
Legia Warszawa II
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Zaglebie
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Stal Mielec
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 20 |
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
Korona Kielce
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Puszcza
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Motor Lublin
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 24 |
Pogoń Siedlce
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Radunia Stężyca
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Jastrzębie
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 27 |
Kalisz
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 |
Ruch Chorzow
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 29 |
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |
Sokół Kleczew
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 32 |
Olimpia Elbląg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Radomiak Radom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Stomil Olsztyn
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Odra Opole
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Zagłębie Lubin II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 38 |
Jagiellonia II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 39 |
Lech Poznań II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 40 |
Chrobry Głogów
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 41 |
Gryf Wejherowo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 42 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 43 |
Legnica
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 44 |
Hutnik Kraków
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 45 |
Śląsk Wrocław II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 46 |
Górnik Polkowice
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 47 |
Miedź Legnica II
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 48 |
Wieczysta Krakow
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 49 |
Start Krasnystaw
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 50 |
Concordia Elbląg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 51 |
Unia Skierniewice
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Stal Stalowa Wola
Bench (9)
Coach: I. Pietrzykowski
Znicz Pruszków
M. Krajewski
Bench (7)
Coach: M. Misiura
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.