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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Krogh
Hobro
S S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Odense
S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hobro Odense
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,5
5,0
Scored
2,5
5,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hobro 14. · Odense 26.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 3 3 0 0 +16 9
2 Ishøj 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 FC Helsingor 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 AB Copenhagen 3 3 0 0 +3 9
5 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +22 6
6 B 93 2 2 0 0 +21 6
7 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
8 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
9 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
10 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +8 6
11 Vejle 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 Naestved 2 2 0 0 +8 6
13 Viby 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 Hobro 2 2 0 0 +5 6
15 Lyseng 2 2 0 0 +4 6
16 Lyngby 2 2 0 0 +4 6
17 Thisted FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 Nykobing FC 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 HIK 2 2 0 0 +2 6
22 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
23 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +13 3
24 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +8 3
25 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
26 Odense 1 1 0 0 +5 3
27 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
28 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
29 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
31 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Silkeborg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
37 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
38 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
41 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
42 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
43 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
44 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
46 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
47 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
48 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
49 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
50 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
51 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
54 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
83 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
84 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
85 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
86 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
88 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
89 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
90 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
91 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
92 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
93 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
94 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
95 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
96 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
97 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hobro Odense
23′
M. Turay 0–1
Half-time 0–1
V. Rasmussen 🔁
↦ J. Tjørnelund
46′
L. Klitten 🔁
↦ M. Kristensen
46′
S. Beraque 🔁
↦ M. Compaoré
61′
S. Ouattara 🔁
↦ J. Bøge
61′
65′
🔁 C. Nouck
↦ L. Deedson
M. Freundlich 🔁
↦ C. Hørby
76′
A. Yoda 🟨
92′
M. Jacobsen 🟨
92′
94′
🔁 B. Kadrii
↦ M. Turay
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hobro

1 J. Fischer
3 J. Bøge
4 J. Tjørnelund
18 E. Søgaard
12 M. Jacobsen
11 M. Kristensen
8 C. Hørby
21 A. Yoda
10 M. Brajanac
7 O. Klitten
20 M. Compaoré
Bench (9)
17 V. Rasmussen
27 L. Klitten
15 S. Beraque
5 S. Ouattara
33 M. Freundlich
2 S. Jakobsen
24 O. Overgaard
73 W. Tønning
47 L. Christensen

Coach: M. Thomsen

Odense

1 M. Hansen
16 S. Väisänen
2 N. Mickelson
5 M. Ivančević
28 T. Slotsager
23 A. Adelgaard
8 A. Manneh
22 R. Al Hajj
18 M. Ejdum
7 M. Turay
30 L. Deedson
Bench (9)
21 C. Nouck
9 B. Kadrii
14 G. Grubbe
13 H. Bernat
24 A. Mustafić
11 M. Jensen
29 T. Burey
3 N. Mouritsen
25 F. Helander

Coach: A. Alm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.