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DBU Pokalen

Referee: J Hansen

Naestved

S S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Midtjylland

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Naestved Midtjylland

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 57%

80%

33%

Points per game

2,4

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

80%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,8

4,5

Scored

3,2

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,6

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

13,0

Scored

4,0

13,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+13,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Naestved 12. · Midtjylland 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredericia	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Ishøj	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	FC Helsingor	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	AB Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+22	6
6	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
7	Aalborg	3	2	0	1	+13	6
8	FA 2000	3	2	0	1	+11	6
9	Aarhus Fremad	3	2	0	1	+11	6
10	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
15	Lyseng	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Lyngby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Thisted FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	HB Koge	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Vanløse	3	2	0	1	+2	6
21	HIK	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	tst Fodbold	3	1	1	1	-6	4
23	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
24	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
25	Hillerød	2	1	0	1	+5	3
26	Odense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
27	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
28	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
29	Kolding B	2	1	0	1	+2	3
30	SfB-Oure	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Skjold Sæby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Ringsted	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
34	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Sonderjyske	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	AB Tårnby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	VRI	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Skjold Birkerød	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Skive	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Brønshøj	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	-3	3
46	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
48	Bagsværd	2	1	0	1	-5	3
49	Søften	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	Aabenraa	2	1	0	1	-12	3
51	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Fjordager	2	0	1	1	-8	1
54	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
90	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
92	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
93	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
94	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
95	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
96	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
97	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Viby	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	tst Fodbold	3	1	1	1	-6	4
3	Kolding B	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Ringsted	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	B 1908	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Tune	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Ringkøbing	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Taastrup	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Dalum	2	1	0	1	-5	3
15	Søften	2	1	0	1	-6	3
16	B 1909	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Aalborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Amager FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Aarhus Fremad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Greve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	LSF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Tåsinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Nibe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Odder	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Frem	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	HB Koge	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Otterup	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Skive	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Tårnby FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Jetsmark	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Køge Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Skjold Sæby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Aarhus 1900	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Morud/Veflinge	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Dragør	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Frederiksholm Sydhavnen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-5	0
50	Højslev IF	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	Brønshøj	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	VRI	1	0	0	1	-6	0
53	KFUM Odense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
54	Vallensbæk	1	0	0	1	-6	0
55	BSF	1	0	0	1	-7	0
56	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-7	0
57	KRFK	1	0	0	1	-7	0
58	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-7	0
59	Fjordager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
60	Egen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
61	Bredballe	1	0	0	1	-8	0
62	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-13	0
63	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-16	0
64	Avrasya	1	0	0	1	-18	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fredericia	3	3	0	0	+16	9
2	Ishøj	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	FC Helsingor	3	3	0	0	+8	9
4	AB Copenhagen	3	3	0	0	+3	9
5	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+22	6
6	B 93	2	2	0	0	+21	6
7	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+14	6
8	Aarhus Fremad	2	2	0	0	+12	6
9	FA 2000	2	2	0	0	+12	6
10	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+8	6
11	Vejle	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Naestved	2	2	0	0	+8	6
13	Hobro	2	2	0	0	+5	6
14	Lyngby	2	2	0	0	+4	6
15	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
16	Vanløse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
17	Nykobing FC	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+13	3
19	Hvidovre IF	1	1	0	0	+8	3
20	Hillerød	1	1	0	0	+7	3
21	VRI	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Odense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Middelfart	2	1	0	1	+4	3
24	Skjold Sæby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Næsby	2	1	0	1	+3	3
26	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Lyseng	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Bagsværd	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	AB Tårnby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Skjold Birkerød	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	HIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Aabenraa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Silkeborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Skive	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	VSK Århus	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Fjordager	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Vejgaard B	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Brabrand	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Glostrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gug	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Fremad Amager	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Vendsyssel FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Holstebro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Bispebjerg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Frem Sakskøbing	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Varde	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.