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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
PSV Eindhoven
S U S S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,7
1,2
Scored
2,8
0,3
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 56%
76%
35%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
82%
41%
Both score Ø 56%
71%
41%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,6
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
21 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 2. · Go Ahead Eagles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 18 13 3 2 +52 42
2 PSV Eindhoven 17 13 1 3 +20 40
3 Feyenoord 18 12 3 3 +25 39
4 Twente 18 9 5 4 +6 32
5 Utrecht 17 8 5 4 +11 29
6 Vitesse 16 9 2 5 -1 29
7 AZ Alkmaar 16 9 1 6 +10 28
8 Cambuur 18 9 1 8 -7 28
9 Nijmegen 18 7 4 7 -2 25
10 Heerenveen 17 7 4 6 -3 25
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 6 3 8 -8 21
12 Groningen 18 4 7 7 -7 19
13 Heracles 18 5 3 10 -5 18
14 Willem II 18 5 3 10 -18 18
15 Waalwijk 17 3 6 8 -11 15
16 For Sittard 18 3 4 11 -27 13
17 Sparta Rotterdam 17 2 6 9 -12 12
18 Zwolle 18 1 3 14 -23 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
18 O. Boscagli D
27 M. Götze M
15 É. Gutiérrez M
17 Mauro Júnior D
6 I. Sangaré M
11 C. Gakpo M
9 Carlos Vinícius F
32 Y. Vertessen M
Bench (8)
4 A. Obispo
8 M. van Ginkel
20 M. Romero
31 P. Max
37 R. Ledezma
38 Y. Mvogo
21 M. Delanghe
3 J. Teze

Coach: R. Schmidt

Go Ahead Eagles

3-5-2
1 W. Hahn G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers M
4 J. Kramer D
2 B. Lucassen M
21 Iñigo Córdoba F
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
6 J. Idzes D
30 G. Botos F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
9 I. Lidberg
19 O. Heil
26 J. Bakker
17 F. Ross
14 T. Tuzlacik
24 Y. Bourhane
23 A. Noppert
27 J. Mulenga
22 Q. Dumay
31 J. Schuurman
7 M. Berden

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,14
U
8,19
B
19,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,41
U2,5 ✓
2,85
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.