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DFB-Pokal
Referee: R Hartmann
Wehen
S T U T T
2–3
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wehen RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

32% Possession 68%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
2 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
3 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +7 3
6 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +7 3
7 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 FC 08 Homburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Schalke 04 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 SpVgg Unterhaching 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Greuther Furth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Hansa Rostock 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
53 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
54 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
57 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
58 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
59 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
61 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wehen RB Leipzig
7′
E. Forsberg 0–1
18′
B. Šeško 0–2
1–2 I. Prtajin
M. Angha
41′
Half-time 1–2
Thijmen Goppel 🟨
46′
N. Bätzner 🔁
↦ K. Froese
46′
65′
🔁 X. Schlager
↦ N. Seiwald
L. Günther 🔁
↦ T. Goppel
66′
R. Heußer 🔁
↦ G. Fechner
66′
66′
🔁 L. Openda
↦ Y. Poulsen
66′
🔁 X. Simons
↦ Fábio Carvalho
70′
B. Šeško 1–3
2–3 I. Prtajin
73′
J. Kade 🔁
↦ B. Jacobsen
74′
74′
🔁 C. Baumgartner
↦ E. Forsberg
Aleksandar Vukotić 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 M. Simakan
↦ B. Šeško
Robin Heußer 🟨
84′
85′
🟨 Loïs Openda
F. Kovačević 🔁
↦ S. Mockenhaupt
87′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Wehen

3-4-3
16 F. Stritzel G
2 M. Angha D
24 M. Mathisen D
26 A. Vukotić D
4 S. Mockenhaupt M
19 B. Jacobsen M
6 G. Fechner M
9 T. Goppel M
30 K. Froese F
18 I. Prtajin F
20 Lee Hyun-Ju F
Bench (9)
8 N. Bätzner
29 L. Günther
7 R. Heußer
21 J. Kade
14 F. Kovačević
1 A. Lyska
34 A. Ćatić
17 F. Carstens
27 N. Rieble

Coach: M. Kauczinski

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
39 B. Henrichs D
16 L. Klostermann D
23 C. Lukeba D
3 C. Lenz D
10 E. Forsberg M
13 N. Seiwald M
44 K. Kampl M
18 Fábio Carvalho M
30 B. Šeško F
9 Y. Poulsen F
Bench (9)
24 X. Schlager
17 L. Openda
20 X. Simons
14 C. Baumgartner
2 M. Simakan
26 I. Moriba
31 T. Köhler
21 J. Blaswich
22 D. Raum

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.