League Cup
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Newcastle
Man City
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Blackburn
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +12 | 9 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Port Vale
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 5 |
Exeter City
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 |
Burnley
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 7 |
Stoke
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 8 |
Bournemouth
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 10 |
Everton
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 11 |
Chelsea
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Norwich
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |
Mansfield Town
|
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Reading
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Portsmouth
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 16 |
Newport County
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fulham
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 18 |
Leeds
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 19 |
Lincoln
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 20 |
Sutton Utd
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 22 |
Wolves
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 23 |
Bristol City
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 24 |
Man United
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 25 |
Swansea
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 27 |
Gillingham
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
Wycombe
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
West Ham
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Plymouth
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 32 |
Peterborough
|
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +0 | 3 |
| 33 |
AFC Wimbledon
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 34 |
Luton
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 35 |
Doncaster
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 36 |
Birmingham
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 37 |
Crystal Palace
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 38 |
Bolton
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 39 |
Blackpool
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 40 |
Harrogate Town
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7 | 3 |
| 41 |
Sheffield Weds
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 42 |
Stevenage
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 43 |
Crewe
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 44 |
Wrexham
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | 2 |
| 45 |
Bradford
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 |
| 46 |
Salford City
|
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4 | 2 |
| 47 |
Barnsley
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 48 |
Preston
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 49 |
Colchester
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 50 |
Cambridge United
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 51 |
Tottenham
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 52 |
Sunderland
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 53 |
Stockport County
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 54 |
Morecambe
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 55 |
Swindon Town
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 56 |
Accrington ST
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 57 |
Watford
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 58 |
Sheffield United
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 59 |
Wigan
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 60 |
Brentford
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 61 |
Tranmere
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 62 |
Rotherham
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | 1 |
| 63 |
Walsall
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 64 |
Huddersfield
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 65 |
Fleetwood Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 66 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 67 |
Shrewsbury
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 68 |
Hull
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 69 |
West Brom
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 70 |
Crawley Town
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 71 |
Coventry
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 72 |
Brighton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 73 |
Nott'm Forest
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 74 |
QPR
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 75 |
Barrow
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 76 |
Carlisle
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 77 |
Forest Green
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 78 |
Charlton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 79 |
Southampton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 80 |
Bristol Rovers
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 81 |
Derby
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 82 |
Leyton Orient
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 83 |
Milton Keynes Dons
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 84 |
Burton Albion
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 85 |
Notts County
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 86 |
Cheltenham
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 87 |
Grimsby
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 88 |
Northampton
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 89 |
Oxford
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 90 |
Millwall
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
N. Pope
G
T. Livramento
D
M. Targett
D
L. Miley
M
S. Tonali
M
J. Murphy
F
A. Isak
F
L. Hall
F
Coach: E. Howe
S. Ortega
G
M. Akanji
D
J. Gvardiol
D
N. Aké
D
R. Lewis
M
K. Phillips
M
Sergio Gómez
F
O. Bobb
M
M. Kovačić
M
J. Grealish
F
J. Álvarez
F
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sheffield United
Newcastle
Milan
Newcastle
Newcastle
Brentford
Brighton
Newcastle
Newcastle
Liverpool
C Kavanagh · 171 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.