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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
3–0
Full-time
For Sittard
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
75%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,20 xG 1,17
49% Possession 51%
20 Shots 21
9 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 5
2 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 7. · For Sittard 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 4 4 0 0 +12 +7.2 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 4 4 0 0 +10 +4.3 12
3 Twente 4 4 0 0 +9 +3.9 12
4 Feyenoord 5 3 2 0 +14 +10.8 11
5 For Sittard 5 2 3 0 +3 +3.3 9
6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 2 1 +1 -0.7 8
7 Go Ahead Eagles 4 2 1 1 +0 -3.3 7
8 Zwolle 5 2 1 2 -1 +2.6 7
9 Excelsior 5 1 3 1 -1 -2.7 6
10 Heracles 4 2 0 2 -2 -2.3 6
11 Heerenveen 5 2 0 3 -4 -5.8 6
12 Ajax 4 1 2 1 +1 +1.3 5
13 Nijmegen 5 1 1 3 -3 -6.4 4
14 Vitesse 4 1 0 3 -5 -2.3 3
15 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 -7 -4.4 3
16 Waalwijk 5 1 0 4 -9 +1.1 3
17 Almere City 5 0 1 4 -10 -3.5 1
18 Volendam 4 0 0 4 -8 -3.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles For Sittard
1–0 O. Edvardsen
B. Adekanye
37′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Rosier Loreintz
60′
🟨 Deroy Duarte
61′
🔁 M. Belkheir
↦ K. Sierhuis
61′
🔁 O. Özyakup
↦ L. Rosier
S. Sow 🔁
↦ V. Edvardsen
69′
J. Breum 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
69′
74′
🔁 R. Vita
↦ M. Dijks
74′
🔁 M. Lazetić
↦ Ivo Pinto
75′
🟨 Oğuzhan Özyakup
2–0 S. Sow
77′
81′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
E. Llansana 🔁
↦ E. Linthorst
86′
88′
🟨 Rodrigo Guth
Philippe Rommens ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
3–0 P. Rommens
92′
D. James 🔁
↦ B. Kuipers
93′
R. Fernandes 🔁
↦ O. Edvardsen
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
10 P. Rommens M
11 B. Adekanye M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (12)
9 S. Sow
29 J. Breum
21 E. Llansana
15 D. James
7 R. Fernandes
30 S. Jansen
28 P. Saathof
20 X. Blomme
22 E. Mulder
26 L. Everink
32 T. Baeten
17 Darío Serra

Coach: R. Hake

For Sittard

4-2-3-1
31 I. Pandur G
12 Ivo Pinto D
14 Rodrigo Guth D
33 D. Siovas D
35 M. Dijks D
32 L. Rosier M
6 Deroy Duarte M
7 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 A. Halilović M
77 T. Noslin M
9 K. Sierhuis F
Bench (12)
20 M. Belkheir
15 O. Özyakup
61 R. Vita
11 M. Lazetić
34 R. Oratmangoen
24 N. Markelo
2 S. Voet
1 L. Koopmans
17 I. Griffith
3 S. Fofana
19 A. Ferati
22 T. Hendriks

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,63
B
3,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.