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Puchar Polski
Referee: K Iwanowicz
1–2
Full-time
Warta Poznan
T U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wisła Puławy 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Polonia Warszawa 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Garbarnia Kraków 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Stal Brzeg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Carina Gubin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
9 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Podbeskidzie 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Jagiellonia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 +1 3
17 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 LKS Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Legia Warszawa II 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Zaglebie 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Stal Mielec 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Kotwica Kołobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Korona Kielce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Motor Lublin 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Pogoń Siedlce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
27 Radunia Stężyca 2 1 0 1 -2 3
28 Jastrzębie 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Kalisz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
30 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Sokół Kleczew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Jagiellonia II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Gryf Wejherowo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Slask Wroclaw 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Start Krasnystaw 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 Concordia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.