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Eredivisie
Referee: B Nijhuis
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Go Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
40%
80%
Points per game
1,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
20%
80%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
2,6
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 5
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Go Ahead Eagles 9. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 6 5 1 0 +26 16
2 Willem II 6 4 1 1 +2 13
3 PSV Eindhoven 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0 +3 10
5 Feyenoord 4 3 0 1 +8 9
6 Utrecht 5 2 2 1 +5 8
7 Nijmegen 5 2 2 1 -2 8
8 Twente 5 2 1 2 +1 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 0 3 -3 6
10 Cambuur 5 2 0 3 -8 6
11 Vitesse 5 2 0 3 -9 6
12 Waalwijk 6 1 2 3 -2 5
13 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
15 Heracles 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 For Sittard 5 1 1 3 -7 4
17 AZ Alkmaar 3 0 0 3 -5 0
18 Zwolle 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Go Ahead Eagles PSV Eindhoven
15′
C. Gakpo 0–1
E. Zahavi
23′
🟨 Philipp Max
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ P. Max
46′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ E. Zahavi
1–1 Iñigo Córdoba
P. Rommens
55′
M. Berden 🔁
↦ Iñigo Córdoba
60′
I. Lidberg 🔁
↦ Cardona
60′
O. Heil 🔁
↦ R. Oratmangoen
61′
64′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ R. Doan
66′
🔁 D. Pröpper
↦ R. Thomas
68′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ N. Madueke
81′
🟨 Armando Obispo
M. Deijl 🔁
↦ G. Botos
81′
86′
M. van Ginkel 1–2
C. Gakpo
Y. Bourhane 🔁
↦ P. Rommens
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 W. Hahn G
3 G. Nauber D
5 B. Kuipers D
4 J. Kramer D
2 B. Lucassen D
21 Iñigo Córdoba M
10 P. Rommens M
8 L. Brouwers M
30 G. Botos M
29 Cardona F
11 R. Oratmangoen M
Bench (11)
7 M. Berden
9 I. Lidberg
19 O. Heil
20 M. Deijl
24 Y. Bourhane
23 A. Noppert
6 J. Idzes
26 J. Bakker
14 T. Tuzlacik
31 J. Schuurman
22 Q. Dumay

Coach: K. van Wonderen

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
16 J. Drommel G
29 P. Mwene D
5 André Ramalho D
31 P. Max D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 M. van Ginkel M
30 R. Thomas M
7 E. Zahavi F
25 R. Doan M
11 C. Gakpo M
10 N. Madueke M
Bench (11)
3 J. Teze
4 A. Obispo
9 Carlos Vinícius
14 D. Pröpper
32 Y. Vertessen
20 M. Romero
19 Bruma
13 V. Müller
15 É. Gutiérrez
38 Y. Mvogo
17 Mauro Júnior

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,19
U
5,76
B ✓
1,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,57
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Nijhuis · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.