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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Waalwijk

U T S S T

1–3

Full-time

Nijmegen

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — Eredivisie · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

63%

32%

Both score Ø 56%

63%

48%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 7. · Nijmegen 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	25	17	7	1	+33	58
2	Ajax	25	16	7	2	+45	55
3	AZ Alkmaar	25	16	5	4	+23	53
4	PSV Eindhoven	25	16	4	5	+36	52
5	Sparta Rotterdam	23	13	6	4	+19	45
6	Twente	22	12	6	4	+22	42
7	Waalwijk	24	8	8	8	+2	32
8	Utrecht	24	8	8	8	-4	32
9	Nijmegen	25	6	13	6	+7	31
10	Go Ahead Eagles	25	7	8	10	-8	29
11	For Sittard	26	8	5	13	-14	29
12	Heerenveen	23	7	6	10	-8	27
13	Volendam	26	7	5	14	-25	26
14	Vitesse	25	5	8	12	-16	23
15	FC Emmen	26	4	9	13	-22	21
16	Excelsior	25	6	2	17	-39	20
17	Groningen	25	4	5	16	-25	17
18	Cambuur	25	4	4	17	-26	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	13	11	1	1	+32	34
2	Feyenoord	13	9	4	0	+19	31
3	Twente	11	9	2	0	+24	29
4	Ajax	12	7	4	1	+26	25
5	Sparta Rotterdam	11	8	1	2	+13	25
6	AZ Alkmaar	12	7	4	1	+11	25
7	Waalwijk	12	6	3	3	+10	21
8	Volendam	13	6	1	6	-6	19
9	Nijmegen	13	3	9	1	+9	18
10	FC Emmen	14	3	8	3	-2	17
11	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	4	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	12	4	4	4	-1	16
13	Excelsior	12	5	1	6	-9	16
14	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	For Sittard	13	3	3	7	-8	12
16	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-8	11
17	Vitesse	12	2	4	6	-11	10
18	Cambuur	13	2	0	11	-16	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	9	3	1	+19	30
2	AZ Alkmaar	13	9	1	3	+12	28
3	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+14	27
4	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	5	2	+6	20
5	PSV Eindhoven	12	5	3	4	+4	18
6	For Sittard	13	5	2	6	-6	17
7	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Utrecht	12	4	4	4	-3	16
9	Twente	11	3	4	4	-2	13
10	Nijmegen	12	3	4	5	-2	13
11	Vitesse	13	3	4	6	-5	13
12	Go Ahead Eagles	13	3	4	6	-7	13
13	Waalwijk	12	2	5	5	-8	11
14	Cambuur	12	2	4	6	-10	10
15	Volendam	13	1	4	8	-19	7
16	Groningen	13	1	2	10	-21	5
17	FC Emmen	12	1	1	10	-20	4
18	Excelsior	13	1	1	11	-30	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.