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Championship

Referee: K Stroud

QPR

T T T S T

0–1

Full-time

Birmingham

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

0,8

Conceded

3,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-2,2

-0,8

This season — Championship · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

51%

49%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

10 Corners 1

0 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match QPR 19. · Birmingham 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	37	24	11	2	+45	83
2	Sheffield United	37	21	7	9	+25	70
3	Middlesbrough	36	19	7	10	+24	64
4	Luton	35	17	10	8	+11	61
5	Blackburn	37	19	4	14	+1	61
6	Millwall	37	17	9	11	+9	60
7	Norwich	37	16	8	13	+11	56
8	West Brom	37	15	10	12	+8	55
9	Watford	37	14	12	11	+5	54
10	Preston	37	14	11	12	-5	53
11	Sunderland	36	14	9	13	+7	51
12	Coventry	35	13	11	11	+6	50
13	Bristol City	37	12	12	13	+1	48
14	Stoke	37	13	8	16	+3	47
15	Hull	37	12	10	15	-10	46
16	Reading	37	13	5	19	-18	44
17	Swansea	37	11	10	16	-8	43
18	Birmingham	37	11	9	17	-9	42
19	QPR	37	11	9	17	-20	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	-10	40
21	Cardiff	37	10	9	18	-13	39
22	Blackpool	37	8	11	18	-15	35
23	Huddersfield	37	8	9	20	-22	33
24	Wigan	37	7	12	18	-26	33

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	19	14	5	0	+30	47
2	Blackburn	18	13	1	4	+11	40
3	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	+18	36
4	Middlesbrough	18	10	6	2	+18	36
5	Millwall	18	10	5	3	+13	35
6	West Brom	19	10	5	4	+11	35
7	Reading	18	10	3	5	+7	33
8	Watford	18	9	5	4	+11	32
9	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	+6	29
10	Coventry	17	8	5	4	+6	29
11	Norwich	19	8	4	7	+5	28
12	Luton	18	7	7	4	+5	28
13	Rotherham	18	7	5	6	+7	26
14	Hull	19	7	4	8	-5	25
15	Swansea	18	7	3	8	+0	24
16	Cardiff	19	6	6	7	-1	24
17	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	+1	23
18	Sunderland	18	6	5	7	-1	23
19	Huddersfield	19	6	5	8	-4	23
20	Stoke	18	6	4	8	+2	22
21	QPR	18	6	4	8	-6	22
22	Blackpool	18	5	6	7	+1	21
23	Preston	19	5	6	8	-8	21
24	Wigan	19	3	6	10	-18	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Burnley	18	10	6	2	+15	36
2	Sheffield United	19	10	4	5	+7	34
3	Luton	17	10	3	4	+6	33
4	Preston	18	9	5	4	+3	32
5	Sunderland	18	8	4	6	+8	28
6	Middlesbrough	18	9	1	8	+6	28
7	Norwich	18	8	4	6	+6	28
8	Stoke	19	7	4	8	+1	25
9	Millwall	19	7	4	8	-4	25
10	Watford	19	5	7	7	-6	22
11	Coventry	18	5	6	7	+0	21
12	Hull	18	5	6	7	-5	21
13	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	-10	21
14	West Brom	18	5	5	8	-3	20
15	QPR	19	5	5	9	-14	20
16	Bristol City	18	4	7	7	-5	19
17	Swansea	19	4	7	8	-8	19
18	Birmingham	18	5	4	9	-10	19
19	Wigan	18	4	6	8	-8	18
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	-12	15
21	Blackpool	19	3	5	11	-16	14
22	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	-17	14
23	Reading	19	3	2	14	-25	11
24	Huddersfield	18	2	4	12	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.