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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Waalwijk

S T U T U

2–1

Full-time

Nijmegen

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waalwijk Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

14%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

57%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

15 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

16 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waalwijk 15. · Nijmegen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	11	3	1	+46	36
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	11	1	3	+16	34
3	Feyenoord	14	10	2	2	+19	32
4	Utrecht	14	8	2	4	+11	26
5	Cambuur	15	8	0	7	-8	24
6	Twente	14	6	4	4	+2	22
7	Vitesse	13	7	1	5	-3	22
8	Heerenveen	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Go Ahead Eagles	14	6	2	6	-5	20
10	Nijmegen	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Groningen	15	4	6	5	-4	18
12	Willem II	15	5	3	7	-12	18
13	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	1	6	+3	16
14	Heracles	15	4	2	9	-6	14
15	Waalwijk	14	2	6	6	-8	12
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	4	8	-10	10
17	For Sittard	14	2	3	9	-18	9
18	Zwolle	15	1	3	11	-19	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+13	21
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+31	19
3	Utrecht	7	6	1	0	+16	19
4	Feyenoord	7	6	1	0	+12	19
5	AZ Alkmaar	6	4	1	1	+8	13
6	Heracles	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Go Ahead Eagles	7	4	0	3	+3	12
8	Twente	7	3	3	1	+3	12
9	Cambuur	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Heerenveen	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Willem II	7	3	1	3	-5	10
12	Groningen	7	1	5	1	+1	8
13	Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	+0	8
14	Waalwijk	7	2	1	4	-6	7
15	For Sittard	7	2	1	4	-11	7
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Zwolle	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Vitesse	5	1	1	3	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vitesse	8	6	0	2	+3	18
2	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+15	17
3	Feyenoord	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cambuur	7	4	0	3	-6	12
6	Heerenveen	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Nijmegen	7	3	2	2	-3	11
8	Twente	7	3	1	3	-1	10
9	Groningen	8	3	1	4	-5	10
10	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-7	8
11	Go Ahead Eagles	7	2	2	3	-8	8
12	Utrecht	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Waalwijk	7	0	5	2	-2	5
14	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	AZ Alkmaar	6	1	0	5	-5	3
16	For Sittard	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-7	1
18	Zwolle	8	0	1	7	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.