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Süper Lig
Referee: M Filiz
Kasimpasa
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Ümraniyespor
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Ümraniyespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Süper Lig · 24/25 matches
Win Ø 27%
29%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
58%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
58%
64%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
20 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 23
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 14. · Ümraniyespor 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 25 19 3 3 +33 60
2 Fenerbahce 23 16 3 4 +33 51
3 Besiktas 24 13 7 4 +18 46
4 Ad. Demirspor 24 11 9 4 +18 42
5 Trabzonspor 24 12 5 7 +7 41
6 Buyuksehyr 23 12 4 7 +8 40
7 Kayserispor 24 11 2 11 +0 35
8 Konyaspor 25 8 10 7 +2 34
9 Karagumruk 23 7 9 7 +4 30
10 Antalyaspor 24 8 4 12 -6 28
11 Alanyaspor 24 7 7 10 -9 28
12 Gaziantep 25 6 7 12 -8 25
13 Ankaragücü 23 7 4 12 -8 25
14 Kasimpasa 24 7 4 13 -13 25
15 Ümraniyespor 25 6 6 13 -7 24
16 Sivasspor 24 6 6 12 -9 24
17 İstanbulspor 23 7 3 13 -19 24
18 Giresunspor 24 5 8 11 -19 23
19 Hatayspor 23 6 5 12 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,77
U ✓
4,01
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Filiz · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.