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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Carvalho
Portimonense
T S T T T
0–1
Full-time
Vizela
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Vizela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,5
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
38%
42%
Both score Ø 31%
29%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 14. · Vizela 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 24 21 2 1 +48 65
2 Porto 24 18 3 3 +38 57
3 Sp Braga 24 18 1 5 +32 55
4 Sp Lisbon 24 16 2 6 +26 50
5 Guimaraes 24 12 4 8 +0 40
6 Arouca 24 10 7 7 -3 37
7 Casa Pia 24 10 5 9 -4 35
8 Rio Ave 25 9 6 10 -3 33
9 Famalicao 24 9 3 12 -8 30
10 Boavista 24 8 6 10 -11 30
11 Vizela 24 8 5 11 -1 29
12 Gil Vicente 24 8 5 11 -5 29
13 Chaves 24 7 8 9 -7 29
14 Portimonense 24 8 2 14 -13 26
15 Estoril 24 6 4 14 -16 22
16 Maritimo 24 4 4 16 -28 16
17 Santa Clara 25 3 6 16 -21 15
18 Pacos Ferreira 24 4 3 17 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Vizela
Pedro Sá 🟥
20′
Welinton Junior 🟨
23′
25′
🔁 Matheus Pereira
↦ Kiki
Half-time 0–0
56′
🟨 Samu
57′
🔁 A. Méndez
↦ M. Lacava
60′
🟨 Igor Julião
68′
ℹ️ Milutin Osmajić
VAR: Penalty cancelled
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Lucas Ventura
76′
Rui Gomes 🔁
↦ Y. González
78′
79′
🔁 Pedro Ortiz
↦ Ivanildo Fernandes
79′
🔁 F. Etim
↦ Samú
80′
🔁 M. Aidara
↦ M. Osmajić
Yago Cariello 🔁
↦ Maurício
91′
Paulo Estrela 🔁
↦ Welinton Júnior
91′
94′
Raphael Guzzo 0–1
A. Méndez
Fahd Moufi 🟨
97′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-4-1-2
32 K. Nakamura G
23 Park Ji-Soo D
44 Pedrão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
18 F. Moufi M
25 Lucas Ventura M
21 Pedro Sá M
14 M. Seck M
8 Maurício F
93 Welinton Júnior F
15 Y. González F
Bench (9)
24 M. Diaby
70 Rui Gomes
99 Yago Cariello
38 Paulo Estrela
1 Matheus Nogueira
19 Gonçalo Costa
35 B. Róchez
53 Sérgio Conceição
4 Lucas

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Vizela

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
14 Igor Julião D
5 Anderson D
4 Ivanildo Fernandes D
24 Kiki D
6 Claudemir M
8 Raphael Guzzo M
17 M. Lacava M
20 Samú M
10 Kiko Bondoso M
9 M. Osmajić F
Bench (9)
16 Matheus Pereira
19 A. Méndez
34 Pedro Ortiz
90 F. Etim
25 M. Aidara
22 K. Zohi
13 Luiz Felipe
82 Tomás Silva
23 Osama Rashid

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,87
U
3,20
B ✓
2,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hélder Carvalho · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.