Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Portimonense
Vizela
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | +48 | 65 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | +38 | 57 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | +32 | 55 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | +26 | 50 |
| 5 |
Guimaraes
|
24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +0 | 40 |
| 6 |
Arouca
|
24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 |
Casa Pia
|
24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 |
Rio Ave
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 |
Famalicao
|
24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 30 |
| 10 |
Boavista
|
24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -11 | 30 |
| 11 |
Vizela
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 |
Gil Vicente
|
24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 |
Chaves
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 |
Portimonense
|
24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 |
Estoril
|
24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 |
Maritimo
|
24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | -28 | 16 |
| 17 |
Santa Clara
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -21 | 15 |
| 18 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -24 | 15 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Filipe Relvas
D
Coach: Paulo Sérgio
Igor Julião
D
Ivanildo Fernandes
D
Raphael Guzzo
M
Samú
M
Kiko Bondoso
M
M. Osmajić
F
Coach: Tulipa
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Chaves
Portimonense
Portimonense
Sp Lisbon
Famalicao
Portimonense
Portimonense
Maritimo
Guimaraes
Portimonense
Hélder Carvalho · 34 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.