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Serie B
Referee: F Meraviglia
Como
U S U S U
2–0
Full-time
Parma
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 33%
28%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
31%
34%
Both score Ø 42%
45%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 11
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Como 11. · Parma 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 29 19 5 5 +30 62
2 Genoa 29 15 9 5 +17 54
3 Bari 29 13 11 5 +18 50
4 Sudtirol 29 12 12 5 +4 48
5 Pisa 29 10 12 7 +11 42
6 Reggina 28 13 3 12 +8 42
7 Cagliari 29 10 12 7 +5 42
8 Palermo 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Parma 29 11 8 10 +4 41
10 Modena 30 11 5 14 -2 38
11 Como 29 8 12 9 -3 36
12 Ascoli 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Ternana 29 9 9 11 -8 36
14 Cittadella 29 8 11 10 -9 35
15 Perugia 28 8 6 14 -4 30
16 Venezia 29 7 9 13 -9 30
17 Benevento 29 6 11 12 -8 29
18 Cosenza 29 7 8 14 -23 29
19 Spal 29 6 10 13 -9 28
20 Brescia 29 6 10 13 -18 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Como Parma
1–0 A. Cerri
N. Ioannou
5′
Cas Odenthal 🟨
33′
T. Arrigoni 🔁
↦ Cesc Fàbregas
38′
Half-time 1–0
J. Da Riva 🔁
↦ L. da Cunha
46′
46′
🔁 D. Man
↦ G. Charpentier
46′
🔁 R. Inglese
↦ A. Benedyczak
2–0 T. Arrigoni
53′
59′
🔁 A. Bonny
↦ L. Zanimacchia
61′
🟥 Alessandro Circati
A. Gabrielloni 🔁
↦ A. Cerri
63′
64′
🔁 E. Cobbaut
↦ Adrián Bernabé
76′
🔁 W. Coulibaly
↦ E. Del Prato
L. Mancuso 🔁
↦ P. Cutrone
77′
V. Parigini 🔁
↦ N. Ioannou
78′
80′
🟨 Vassilis Zagaritis
Paolo Faragò 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Como

3-4-1-2
32 A. Gomis G
26 C. Odenthal D
23 F. Scaglia D
2 L. Binks D
28 L. Vignali M
8 P. Faragò M
4 Cesc Fàbregas M
44 N. Ioannou M
33 L. da Cunha F
27 A. Cerri F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (12)
21 T. Arrigoni
5 J. Da Riva
9 A. Gabrielloni
77 L. Mancuso
11 V. Parigini
6 A. Iovine
99 M. Vigorito
19 Álex Blanco
3 A. Cagnano
15 S. Canestrelli
7 M. Chajia
45 E. Pierozzi

Coach: M. Longo

Parma

4-2-3-1
1 G. Buffon G
15 E. Del Prato D
3 Y. Osorio D
39 A. Circati D
47 V. Zagaritis D
16 Adrián Bernabé M
8 N. Estévez M
7 A. Benedyczak M
10 F. Vázquez M
17 L. Zanimacchia M
9 G. Charpentier F
Bench (12)
98 D. Man
45 R. Inglese
13 A. Bonny
25 E. Cobbaut
26 W. Coulibaly
40 E. Corvi
14 C. Ansaldi
24 S. Jurić
20 A. Hainaut
22 L. Chichizola
4 B. Balogh
23 D. Camara

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,67
U
3,11
B
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,27
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Meraviglia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,60 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.