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Premiership
Referee: D Dickinson
Aberdeen
T S T S S
3–0
Full-time
Hearts
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 45%
43%
46%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 66%
68%
64%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

38% Possession 62%
22 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 0
10 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 6. · Hearts 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 28 26 1 1 +70 79
2 Rangers 29 23 4 2 +45 73
3 Hearts 28 13 6 9 +9 45
4 Hibernian 28 12 4 12 +1 40
5 Livingston 29 11 6 12 -13 39
6 Aberdeen 28 12 2 14 -9 38
7 St Mirren 28 10 7 11 -11 37
8 ST Johnstone 28 9 4 15 -15 31
9 Motherwell 29 8 6 15 -8 30
10 Ross County 29 6 6 17 -18 24
11 Kilmarnock 28 6 6 16 -27 24
12 Dundee United 28 5 6 17 -24 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Jan -23 Hearts – Aberdeen 5–0 16. Oct -22 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–0 2. Mar -22 Hearts – Aberdeen 2–0 30. Oct -21 Aberdeen – Hearts 2–1 22. Aug -21 Hearts – Aberdeen 1–1

Match report

Aberdeen Hearts
1–0 Duk ⚽
5′
2–0 Duk ⚽
M. Pollock
21′
3–0 M. Pollock ⚽
L. Clarkson
28′
34′
🔁 S. Kingsley
↦ A. Cochrane
37′
🟨 Lawrence Shankland
H. Coulson 🔁
↦ J. Hayes
41′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 A. Forrest
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
Bojan Miovski 🟨
68′
Ylber Ramadani 🟨
68′
68′
🟨 Toby Sibbick
68′
🟨 James Hill
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
69′
76′
🔁 S. Humphrys
↦ J. Ginnelly
76′
🔁 J. Grant
↦ T. Sibbick
R. Duncan 🔁
↦ Duk
84′
P. Myslovič 🔁
↦ L. Clarkson
84′
Marley Watkins 🟨
93′
95′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ M. Smith
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Aberdeen

3-5-2
24 K. Roos G
18 M. Pollock D
27 A. MacDonald D
4 L. Scales D
2 R. McCrorie M
16 Y. Ramadani M
20 L. Clarkson M
6 G. Shinnie M
17 J. Hayes M
9 B. Miovski F
11 Duk F
Bench (9)
22 H. Coulson
15 M. Watkins
23 R. Duncan
14 P. Myslovič
3 J. MacKenzie
10 D. Markanday
8 C. Barron
25 J. Richardson
1 J. Lewis

Coach: B. Robson

Hearts

3-4-3
28 Z. Clark G
72 J. Hill D
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
2 M. Smith M
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
77 R. Snodgrass M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
30 J. Ginnelly F
18 B. McKay F
Bench (9)
3 S. Kingsley
17 A. Forrest
29 S. Humphrys
7 J. Grant
16 A. Halliday
14 C. Devlin
61 G. Kuol
20 L. Neilson
13 R. Stewart

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,47
🔒
U
3,44
🔒
B
2,75
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,81
🔒
U2,5
1,98
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Dickinson · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.