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Ligue 2

Referee: C Turpin

Caen

U S S U T

2–1

Full-time

Valenciennes

T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 32%

37%

26%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

41%

37%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 7. · Valenciennes 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	28	15	12	1	+25	57
2	Bordeaux	27	13	8	6	+15	47
3	Sochaux	27	13	7	7	+20	46
4	Metz	27	12	9	6	+16	45
5	Bastia	27	12	6	9	+1	42
6	Grenoble	27	11	8	8	+4	41
7	Caen	27	10	10	7	+4	40
8	Quevilly Rouen	27	10	9	8	+2	39
9	Paris FC	27	10	7	10	+0	37
10	Guingamp	27	10	7	10	-1	37
11	Amiens	27	10	7	10	-3	37
12	St Etienne	28	9	9	10	-2	36
13	Valenciennes	27	7	12	8	-5	33
14	Annecy	27	8	8	11	-4	32
15	Laval	27	9	4	14	-9	31
16	Pau FC	27	7	9	11	-10	30
17	Rodez	27	6	10	11	-10	28
18	Dijon	27	6	8	13	-9	26
19	Nimes	27	7	5	15	-14	26
20	Niort	27	6	5	16	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	9	5	0	+14	32
2	Sochaux	14	8	4	2	+17	28
3	Caen	13	7	5	1	+11	26
4	Bastia	14	8	2	4	+6	26
5	Bordeaux	13	7	4	2	+9	25
6	Grenoble	14	7	4	3	+4	25
7	Metz	14	6	6	2	+7	24
8	Valenciennes	14	5	9	0	+6	24
9	St Etienne	14	6	4	4	+2	22
10	Quevilly Rouen	13	5	6	2	+6	21
11	Amiens	13	6	3	4	+3	21
12	Dijon	14	5	5	4	+1	20
13	Annecy	13	6	2	5	+0	20
14	Nimes	13	6	1	6	-1	19
15	Laval	14	5	2	7	-1	17
16	Pau FC	13	4	5	4	-3	17
17	Paris FC	13	4	3	6	-1	15
18	Guingamp	14	4	3	7	-3	15
19	Niort	13	4	2	7	-7	14
20	Rodez	14	2	5	7	-10	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	14	6	7	1	+11	25
2	Bordeaux	14	6	4	4	+6	22
3	Guingamp	13	6	4	3	+2	22
4	Paris FC	14	6	4	4	+1	22
5	Metz	13	6	3	4	+9	21
6	Sochaux	13	5	3	5	+3	18
7	Quevilly Rouen	14	5	3	6	-4	18
8	Rodez	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Grenoble	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Bastia	13	4	4	5	-5	16
11	Amiens	14	4	4	6	-6	16
12	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-4	14
13	Caen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
14	Laval	13	4	2	7	-8	14
15	Pau FC	14	3	4	7	-7	13
16	Annecy	14	2	6	6	-4	12
17	Valenciennes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Niort	14	2	3	9	-13	9
19	Nimes	14	1	4	9	-13	7
20	Dijon	13	1	3	9	-10	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.