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LaLiga2

Referee: Rafael Sánchez

Ponferradina

U U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

19%

48%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

39%

Both score Ø 49%

52%

45%

Average goals

2,1

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 9

7 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 10

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 19. · Alaves 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	31	17	8	6	+11	59
2	Granada	32	17	7	8	+20	58
3	Las Palmas	32	15	13	4	+17	58
4	Levante	32	14	14	4	+13	56
5	Alaves	31	15	9	7	+13	54
6	Albacete	32	13	12	7	+6	51
7	Burgos	31	11	12	8	+5	45
8	Cartagena	31	12	8	11	+3	44
9	Huesca	31	9	14	8	+2	41
10	Tenerife	32	10	11	11	+0	41
11	Villarreal B	31	11	8	12	-5	41
12	Andorra	32	11	7	14	+4	40
13	Mirandes	31	10	10	11	-2	40
14	Leganes	32	10	10	12	-3	40
15	Oviedo	32	10	9	13	-5	39
16	Zaragoza	31	9	11	11	-3	38
17	Santander	31	9	10	12	-3	37
18	Sp Gijon	31	8	12	11	-4	36
19	Ponferradina	31	6	12	13	-14	30
20	Malaga	32	5	12	15	-11	27
21	Ibiza	32	5	10	17	-23	25
22	Lugo	31	5	9	17	-21	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	16	13	3	0	+27	42
2	Eibar	16	11	4	1	+12	37
3	Alaves	16	10	5	1	+14	35
4	Las Palmas	16	9	5	2	+12	32
5	Levante	16	9	5	2	+12	32
6	Huesca	15	8	6	1	+11	30
7	Albacete	16	8	5	3	+9	29
8	Tenerife	16	8	5	3	+9	29
9	Mirandes	16	8	5	3	+6	29
10	Leganes	17	8	5	4	+4	29
11	Villarreal B	15	7	5	3	+6	26
12	Sp Gijon	16	6	7	3	+6	25
13	Andorra	16	7	3	6	+9	24
14	Burgos	15	6	6	3	+5	24
15	Zaragoza	15	5	7	3	+3	22
16	Oviedo	16	6	4	6	-1	22
17	Cartagena	16	6	3	7	-4	21
18	Malaga	16	4	7	5	-2	19
19	Santander	15	4	6	5	-1	18
20	Ponferradina	15	4	5	6	-5	17
21	Ibiza	16	3	7	6	-5	16
22	Lugo	15	3	6	6	-3	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	16	6	8	2	+5	26
2	Levante	16	5	9	2	+1	24
3	Cartagena	15	6	5	4	+7	23
4	Eibar	15	6	4	5	-1	22
5	Albacete	16	5	7	4	-3	22
6	Burgos	16	5	6	5	+0	21
7	Alaves	15	5	4	6	-1	19
8	Santander	16	5	4	7	-2	19
9	Oviedo	16	4	5	7	-4	17
10	Andorra	16	4	4	8	-5	16
11	Zaragoza	16	4	4	8	-6	16
12	Granada	16	4	4	8	-7	16
13	Villarreal B	16	4	3	9	-11	15
14	Ponferradina	16	2	7	7	-9	13
15	Tenerife	16	2	6	8	-9	12
16	Leganes	15	2	5	8	-7	11
17	Mirandes	15	2	5	8	-8	11
18	Huesca	16	1	8	7	-9	11
19	Sp Gijon	15	2	5	8	-10	11
20	Lugo	16	2	3	11	-18	9
21	Ibiza	16	2	3	11	-18	9
22	Malaga	16	1	5	10	-9	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.