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Primeira Liga

Referee: Vitor Ferreira

Arouca

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arouca Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

42%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

38%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

38%

46%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arouca 6. · Pacos Ferreira 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	24	21	2	1	+48	65
2	Porto	24	18	3	3	+38	57
3	Sp Braga	24	18	1	5	+32	55
4	Sp Lisbon	24	16	2	6	+26	50
5	Guimaraes	24	12	4	8	+0	40
6	Arouca	24	10	7	7	-3	37
7	Casa Pia	24	10	5	9	-4	35
8	Rio Ave	25	9	6	10	-3	33
9	Vizela	25	9	5	11	+0	32
10	Famalicao	24	9	3	12	-8	30
11	Boavista	24	8	6	10	-11	30
12	Gil Vicente	24	8	5	11	-5	29
13	Chaves	24	7	8	9	-7	29
14	Portimonense	25	8	2	15	-14	26
15	Estoril	24	6	4	14	-16	22
16	Maritimo	24	4	4	16	-28	16
17	Santa Clara	25	3	6	16	-21	15
18	Pacos Ferreira	24	4	3	17	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	11	1	0	+28	34
2	Porto	12	10	0	2	+26	30
3	Sp Lisbon	12	10	0	2	+25	30
4	Guimaraes	13	8	2	3	+4	26
5	Sp Braga	11	8	1	2	+17	25
6	Rio Ave	12	7	1	4	+5	22
7	Famalicao	12	7	1	4	+4	22
8	Arouca	12	7	1	4	+3	22
9	Boavista	12	5	5	2	+0	20
10	Casa Pia	12	5	3	4	+1	18
11	Portimonense	13	5	2	6	-2	17
12	Gil Vicente	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Chaves	12	3	5	4	-1	14
14	Vizela	12	4	2	6	-1	14
15	Maritimo	12	3	2	7	-6	11
16	Estoril	11	3	2	6	-9	11
17	Santa Clara	13	2	4	7	-12	10
18	Pacos Ferreira	13	2	2	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	12	10	1	1	+20	31
2	Sp Braga	13	10	0	3	+15	30
3	Porto	12	8	3	1	+12	27
4	Sp Lisbon	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Vizela	13	5	3	5	+1	18
6	Casa Pia	12	5	2	5	-5	17
7	Chaves	12	4	3	5	-6	15
8	Arouca	12	3	6	3	-6	15
9	Guimaraes	11	4	2	5	-4	14
10	Gil Vicente	12	4	1	7	-5	13
11	Estoril	13	3	2	8	-7	11
12	Rio Ave	13	2	5	6	-8	11
13	Boavista	12	3	1	8	-11	10
14	Portimonense	12	3	0	9	-12	9
15	Famalicao	12	2	2	8	-12	8
16	Pacos Ferreira	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	Santa Clara	12	1	2	9	-9	5
18	Maritimo	12	1	2	9	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.